Permafrost warming has the potential to amplify global climate change, because when frozen sediments thaw it unlocks soil organic carbon. Yet to date, no globally consistent assessment of permafrost temperature change has been compiled. Here we use a global data set of permafrost temperature time series from the Global Terrestrial Network for Permafrost to evaluate temperature change across permafrost regions for the period since the International Polar Year (2007–2009). During the reference decade between 2007 and 2016, ground temperature near the depth of zero annual amplitude in the continuous permafrost zone increased by 0.39 ± 0.15 °C. Over the same period, discontinuous permafrost warmed by 0.20 ± 0.10 °C. Permafrost in mountains warmed by 0.19 ± 0.05 °C and in Antarctica by 0.37 ± 0.10 °C. Globally, permafrost temperature increased by 0.29 ± 0.12 °C. The observed trend follows the Arctic amplification of air temperature increase in the Northern Hemisphere. In the discontinuous zone, however, ground warming occurred due to increased snow thickness while air temperature remained statistically unchanged.
in winter, due to insulation of the soil resulting from early cooling. Simulations revealed that T SOIL tended to increase over most of the pan-Arctic from 1901 to 2009, and that this increase was significant in northern regions, especially in northeastern Siberia where SND is responsible for 50 % or more of the changes in T SOIL at a depth of 3.6 m. In the same region, ALT also increased at a rate of approximately 2.3 cm per decade. The most sensitive response of ALT to changes in SND appeared in the southern boundary regions of permafrost, in contrast to permafrost temperatures within the 60°N-80°N region, which were more sensitive to changes in snow cover. Finally, our model suggests that snow cover contributes to the warming of permafrost in northern regions and could play a more important role under conditions of future Arctic warming.
Permafrost degradation and changes in water balance in a thermokarst lake in the middle part of the Lena River basin in eastern Siberia were investigated. We analysed the role of permafrost thawing in the water balance of a growing thermokarst lake. Long-term observations during the last two decades (1992)(1993)(1994)(1995)(1996)(1997)(1998)(1999)(2000)(2001)(2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008) at our thermokarst monitoring site, Yukechi, showed significant modifications of the landforms. Observations included ground temperature, thawing depth, soil moisture content in the active layer, surface subsidence rate, and ecological changes in the surrounding environment. We also used data obtained at the Yakutsk weather station to estimate the potential evaporation. During the observation period, the water surface area increased steadily from 195 m 2 in 1993 to 3135 m 2 in 2008, and the lake water increased from 33Á7 m 3 in 1993 to 3503 m 3 in 2008. Water balance estimations showed that ground ice melt made up to one third of the total water input into the lake. The rapid development of growing thermokarst lakes indicates an ecological risk on the edges of cryogenic landscapes. Finally, we found that climate change and anthropogenic impacts have led to enhanced activity of cryogenic processes in the region. In particular, cultivated fields underlying ice-rich permafrost face enhanced degradation by cryogenic and hydrological processes because of recent climate change in the region.
The history of permafrost landscape map compilation is related to the study of ecological problems with permafrost. Permafrost-landscape studies are now widely used in geocryological mapping. Permafrost-landscape classifications and mapping are necessary for studying the trends in development of the natural environment in northern and high-altitude permafrost regions. The cryogenic factor in the permafrost zone plays a leading role in the differentiation of landscapes, so it must be considered during classification construction. In this study, a map's special content was developed using publications about Yakutian nature, archive sources from academic institutes, the interpretation of satellite images, and special field studies. Overlays of 20 types of terrain, identified by geological and geomorphological features, and 36 types of plant groupings, allowed the systematization of permafrost temperature and active layer thickness in 145 landscape units with relatively homogeneous permafrost-landscape conditions in the Sakha (Yakutia) Republic. This map serves as a basis for applied thematic maps related to the assessment and forecast of permafrost changes during climate warming and anthropogenic impacts.
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