In this paper, we propose modeling for a single repairable system with a hierarchical structure under the assumption that the failures follow a nonhomogeneous Poisson process (which corresponds to minimal repair action) with a power-law intensity function. The properties of the new model are discussed in detail. The parameter estimators are obtained using the maximum likelihood method. A corrective approach is used to remove bias with order O(n −1), and the respective exact confidence intervals are proposed. A simulation study is conducted to show that our estimators are bias-free. The proposed modeling is illustrated via a toy example on a butterfly valve system, an example of an early-stage real project related to the traction system of an in-pipe robot, and also a real example on a blowout preventer system.
In this paper, from the practical point of view, we focus on modeling traumatic brain injury data considering different stages of hospitalization, related to patients’ survival rates following traumatic brain injury caused by traffic accidents. From the statistical point of view, the primary objective is related to overcoming the limited number of traumatic brain injury patients available for studying by considering different estimation methods to obtain improved estimators of the model parameters, which can be recommended to be used in the presence of small samples. To have a general methodology, at least in principle, we consider the very flexible Generalized Gamma distribution. We compare various estimation methods using extensive numerical simulations. The results reveal that the penalized maximum likelihood estimators have the smallest mean square errors and biases, proving to be the most efficient method among the investigated ones, mainly to be used in the presence of small samples. The Simulated Annealing technique is used to avoid numerical problems during the optimization process, as well as the need for good initial values. Overall, we considered an amount of three real data sets related to traumatic brain injury caused by traffic accidents to demonstrate that the Generalized Gamma distribution is a simple alternative to be used in this type of applications for different occurrence rates and risks, and in the presence of small samples.
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