Abstract. This paper builds a new theoretical connection between singular control of finite variation and optimal switching problems. This correspondence provides a novel method for solving high-dimensional singular control problems and enables us to extend the theory of reversible investment: Sufficient conditions are derived for the existence of optimal controls and for the regularity of value functions. Consequently, our regularity result links singular controls and Dynkin games through sequential optimal stopping problems.
A credit investor such as a bank granting loans to firms or an asset manager buying corporate bonds is exposed to correlated corporate default risk. A multiname credit derivative is a financial security that allows the investor to transfer this risk to the credit market. In this paper, we study the valuation and risk analysis of multiname derivatives. To capture the complex economic phenomena that drive the pricing of these securities, we introduce a time-changed birth process as a probabilistic model of correlated event timing. The self-exciting property of a time-changed birth process captures the feedback from events that is often observed in credit markets. The stochastic variation of arrival rates between events captures the exposure of firms to common economic risk factors. We derive a closed-form expression for the distribution of a time-changed birth process, and develop analytically tractable pricing relations for a range of multiname derivatives valuation problems. We illustrate our results by calibrating a tranche forward and option pricer to market rates of index and tranche swaps.
This paper analyzes a class of singular control problems for which value functions are not necessarily smooth. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the well-known smooth fit principle, along with the regularity of the value functions, are given. Explicit solutions for the optimal policy and for the value functions are provided. In particular, when payoff functions satisfy the usual Inada conditions, the boundaries between action and no-action regions are smooth and strictly monotonic as postulated and exploited in the existing literature (Dixit and Pindyck (1994)
We consider a firm facing random demand at the end of a single period of random length. At any time during the period, the firm can either increase or decrease inventory by buying or selling on a spot market where price fluctuates randomly over time, and the revenue the firm gets by meeting demand at the end of the period is a function of the spot market price at that time. We first demonstrate that this control problem is equivalent to a singular control problem of higher dimensions. We then use this insight combined with a novel control-theoretic approach to show that the optimal policy is completely characterized by a simple price-dependent two threshold policy. In a series of computational experiments, we explore the value of actively managing inventory during the period rather than making a purchase decision at the start of the period, and then waiting for demand.
This report summarizes some of our recent work (Guo and Tomecek (2008b,a)) on a new theoretical connection between singular control of finite variation and optimal switching problems. This correspondence not only provides a novel method for analyzing multi-dimensional singular control problems, but also builds links among singular controls, Dynkin games, and sequential optimal stopping problems.
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