ObjectivesOur objectives were to assess trends in late presentation and advanced HIV disease (AHD) and determine associated risk factors. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of patients who had received care and treatment at the AIDS Prevention Initiative Nigeria Plus (APIN)/Harvard School of Public Health− President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) programme at the Jos University Teaching Hospital, Jos, Nigeria from 2005 to 2010. We used the European Consensus Definition to assess trends in late presentation (CD4 count < 350 cells/μL or AIDS-defining illness) and AHD (CD4 count < 200 cells/μL or AIDS-defining illness) and evaluated associated risk factors using logistic regression methods. ResultsAmong 14 487 eligible patients, 12 401 (85.6%) were late presenters and 9127 (63.0%) presented with AHD. Late presentation decreased from 88.9% in 2005 to 80.1% in 2010 (P < 0.001). Similarly, AHD decreased from 67.8% in 2005 to 53.6% in 2010 (P < 0.001). In logistic regression models adjusting for sociodemographic and biological variables, male sex [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 1.80; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.60-2.04], older age (aOR = 1.37; 95% CI 1.22-1.54), civil service employment (aOR = 1.48; 95% CI 1.00-2.21), referral from out-patient (aOR = 2.18; 95% CI 1.53-3.08) and in-patient (aOR = 1.55; 95% CI 1.11-2.17) services, and hepatitis B virus (aOR = 1.43; 95% CI 1.26-1.63) and hepatitis C virus (aOR = 1.18; 95% CI 1.02-1.37) coinfections were associated with late presentation. Predictors of AHD were male sex (aOR = 1.67; 95% CI 1.54-1.82), older age (aOR = 1.26; 95% CI 1.16-1.36), unemployment (aOR = 1.34; 95% CI 1.00-1.79), referral from out-patient (aOR = 2.40; 95% CI 1.84-3.14) and in-patient (aOR = 1.97; 95% CI 1.51-2.57) services and hepatitis B virus coinfection (aOR = 1.30; 95% CI 1.19-1.42). ConclusionsEfforts to reduce the proportion of patients who first seek care at late stages of disease are needed. The identified risk factors should be utilized in formulating targeted public health interventions to improve early diagnosis and presentation for HIV care.

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Long-term treatment discontinuation rate in this study was comparable to estimates in resource-rich countries. Younger patients, as well as patients with lower educational levels and those with poor adherence had significant hazards for treatment discontinuation and should be the target of interventions to reduce treatment discontinuation and improve retention, especially within the first year of ART.

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