International audienceEarthquake scarps associated with recent historical events have been found on the floor of the Sea of Marmara, along the North Anatolian Fault (NAF). The MARMARASCARPS cruise using an unmanned submersible (ROV) provides direct observations to study the fine-scale morphology and geology of those scarps, their distribution, and geometry. The observations are consistent with the diversity of fault mechanisms and the fault segmentation within the north Marmara extensional step-over, between the strike-slip Ganos and Izmit faults. Smaller strike-slip segments and pull-apart basins alternate within the main step-over, commonly combining strike-slip and extension. Rapid sedimentation rates of 1?3 mm/yr appear to compete with normal faulting components of up to 6 mm/yr at the pull-apart margins. In spite of the fast sedimentation rates the submarine scarps are preserved and accumulate relief. Sets of youthful earthquake scarps extend offshore from the Ganos and Izmit faults on land into the Sea of Marmara. Our observations suggest that they correspond to the submarine ruptures of the 1999 Izmit (Mw 7.4) and the 1912 Ganos (Ms 7.4) earthquakes. While the 1999 rupture ends at the immediate eastern entrance of the extensional Cinarcik Basin, the 1912 rupture appears to have crossed the Ganos restraining bend into the Sea of Marmara floor for 60 km with a right-lateral slip of 5 m, ending in the Central Basin step-over. From the Gulf of Saros to Marmara the total 1912 rupture length is probably about 140 km, not 50 km as previously thought. The direct observations of submarine scarps in Marmara are critical to defining barriers that have arrested past earthquakes as well as defining a possible segmentation of the contemporary state of loading. Incorporating the submarine scarp evidence modifies substantially our understanding of the current state of loading along the NAF next to Istanbul. Coulomb stress modeling shows a zone of maximum loading with at least 4?5 m of slip deficit encompassing the strike-slip segment 70 km long between the Cinarcik and Central Basins. That segment alone would be capable of generating a large-magnitude earthquake (Mw 7.2). Other segments in Marmara appear less loaded

A detailed account is given of the fault geometry and segment structure of the East Anatolian Fault Zone as a whole based on mapping of active faults, supported by available seismological and palaeoseismological data. We divide the East Anatolian Fault into two main strands: southern and northern. The main southern strand is c. 580 km long between Karlıova and Antakya, and connects with the Dead Sea Fault Zone and the Cyprus Arc via the Amik triple junction. The northern strand, termed the Sürgü–Misis Fault system, is c. 350 km long and connects with the Kyrenia–Misis Fault Zone beneath the Gulf of İskenderun. We infer that slip partitioning between the main and northern strands of the East Anatolian Fault accommodates 2/3 and 1/3 of the slip rate of the lateral motion between the Arabian and Anatolian plates, respectively in the Çelikhan–Adana–Antakya region. Taking account of the time elapsed from the latest events on the East Anatolian Fault, we suggest that the Pazarcık and Amanos segments have the potential to produce destructive earthquakes in the near future.Supplementary material:The data and interpretations given here are supported by five additional annotated field photographs and two tables of factual data, these are available at www.geolsoc.org.uk/SUP18568

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SUMMARY The east and west rupture directions of the 1943 and 1944 earthquakes on the North Anatolian Fault (NAF) are hypothesized to represent, respectively, long term preferred propagation directions on the corresponding sections of the NAF. Fault sections with preferred rupture direction are expected to have an asymmetric damage structure with respect to the slipping zone. To test the above hypothesis, we study geological and geomorphologic manifestations of structural asymmetry with respect to the active trace of the NAF along the 1943 and 1944 sections. The following fault zone elements are mapped: gouge fabric in the cm scale, fault core structure in a metre scale, and secondary faults and fault rocks in tens of metres scale. Mapping results at three sites on the 1943 rupture and one site on the 1944 rupture are consistent with accumulation of more rock damage on the south side of the 1943 section and on the north side of the 1944 section. Erosion patterns adjacent to the fault that are not correlated with the distribution of intrinsic and extrinsic erosion‐controlling variables (e.g. rock type) are interpreted as morphologic responses to the damage content of rocks and its impact on rock erodibility. The valleys of 11 rivers are parallel to the studied fault sections. About 75 per cent of the total river valleys length along the 1943 rupture is on the south side of the fault, and about 89 per cent of the total river valleys length along the 1944 rupture is on the north side of the fault. Morphometric analysis of watersheds in two correlative terrains displaced along the 1944 rupture section shows that stream erosion is considerably more intense in the terrain north of the fault, with drainage density values almost double in the north compare to the south. Badland topography at two sites along the 1943 rupture section is substantially more developed at the ∼100 m scale on the south side of fault. Our observations along the 1943–1944 rupture sections, including various types of signals that span a large range of scales, are systematically compatible with an opposite sense of damage asymmetry between the two fault sections. These observations are consistent with opposite preferred direction of ruptures for the two sections, similar to the propagation directions of the two recent earthquakes. If those rupture directions are dictated by the velocity structure at depth, we infer that the south side of the 1943 rupture has faster seismic velocity at seismogenic depth than the north side, and that the sense of velocity contrast is reversed along the 1944 rupture zone.

The catastrophic rupture of the North Anatolian Fault east of the Marmara Sea on 17 August 1999 highlighted a need for mapping the underwater extension of that continental transform. A new bathymetric map of Izmit Gulf indicates that the fault follows the axis of the gulf with a few minor bends. Submerged shorelines and shelf breaks that formed during the Last Glacial Maximum provide markers to quantify vertical deformation. Variable tilting of these horizons reveals that vertical deformation is highest just south of the fault. A correlation between vertical deformation of the southern fault block and distance to fault bends can be accounted for by a fault dipping steeply to the south. Hence subsidence (uplift) of the southern, hanging wall block would be expected where the fault strikes at a slightly transtensional (transpressional) orientation to relative plate motion. Subsidence reaches about 8 mm/yr west of the town of Golcuk and might be accommodated in 1–2 m subsidence events during large earthquakes. That scenario is compatible with the tsunami runups and the coseismic subsidence of the southern shore that occurred in 1999. Seafloor morphology also suggests that earthquakes are accompanied by widespread gas and fluid release. The periphery of the deepest basin displays a hummocky texture diagnostic of sediment fluidization, and mud volcanoes occur west of Hersek peninsula that might be activated by earthquakes. Finally, the backscatter imagery reveals a series of lineaments midway through the gulf that are interpreted as products of the 1999 surface rupture. The seafloor is undisturbed farther west, suggesting that surface slip decreased to an insignificant level beyond Hersek. Possibly, the stress shadow from the 10 July 1894 earthquake, which was felt strongly along the western Izmit Gulf, contributed to arrest the 1999 surface rupture.