The Okavango River Basin (ORB) is a highly sensitive and biodiverse region in southern Africa whose climate, vegetation and river discharge characteristics are not well understood. This study investigated relationships between rainfall, temperature, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and river discharge over the region as well as their trends and interannual variability. It is found that spatial patterns of NDVI are closely related to those of rainfall, but less so with temperature at monthly and seasonal time scales. The relationships between NDVI and rainfall/temperature differ north of 18.9°S where rainfall is higher than to its south. Typically, there are lags of 1–2‐months between NDVI and either rainfall or temperature. Also, there are large areas across the region that show significant warming trends in all seasons as well as wetting (mainly in the north). This increasing trend in surface temperature may act to worsen the impacts of extreme events such as severe drought and fire in the region. There is also pronounced interannual variability with significant correlations found with El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the subtropical South Indian Ocean Dipole and the Botswana High for rainfall and temperature, and for NDVI with ENSO. For the Southern Annular Mode, significant correlations were found with rainfall and temperature only in December and April. On longer time scales, focus was also placed on the wet 2006–2013 period relative to much drier 1999–2005 epoch for October–December. The wetter conditions during 2006–2013 appear related to La Niña Modoki conditions and warmer sea surface temperature near Angola as well as regional circulation differences.
Tourism is an important economic sector in the Global South, but it is also among the sectors most vulnerable to the risks and variations associated with global climate change.The paper investigates how issues surrounding uncertainty in the climate change discourse have influenced policy makers' response to climate change in Botswana with respect to the tourism sector. A number of constraints hamper progress in policy response measures including inadequate knowledge and the extent to which climate science can be trusted. A qualitative approach comprising in-depth interviews was adopted for the study. The analysis of the empirical data demonstrates that some policy makers are still sceptical about climate change and its impacts on tourism despite growing evidence from scientific studies and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
The June 2, 2018 impact of asteroid 2018 LA over Botswana is only the second asteroid detected in space prior to impacting over land. Here, we report on the successful recovery of meteorites. Additional astrometric data refine the approach orbit and define the spin period and shape of the asteroid. Video observations of the fireball constrain the asteroid's position in its orbit and were used to triangulate the location of the fireball's main flare over the Central Kalahari Game Reserve. Twenty‐three meteorites were recovered. A consortium study of eight of these classifies Motopi Pan as an HED polymict breccia derived from howardite, cumulate and basaltic eucrite, and diogenite lithologies. Before impact, 2018 LA was a solid rock of ~156 cm diameter with high bulk density ~2.85 g cm−3, a relatively low albedo pV ~ 0.25, no significant opposition effect on the asteroid brightness, and an impact kinetic energy of ~0.2 kt. The orbit of 2018 LA is consistent with an origin at Vesta (or its Vestoids) and delivery into an Earth‐impacting orbit via the ν6 resonance. The impact that ejected 2018 LA in an orbit toward Earth occurred 22.8 ± 3.8 Ma ago. Zircons record a concordant U‐Pb age of 4563 ± 11 Ma and a consistent 207Pb/206Pb age of 4563 ± 6 Ma. A much younger Pb‐Pb phosphate resetting age of 4234 ± 41 Ma was found. From this impact chronology, we discuss what is the possible source crater of Motopi Pan and the age of Vesta's Veneneia impact basin.
Wind speed modelling has been key to many environmental and engineering applications, particularly in environmentally friendly wind power generation to meet energy demands. Efficient assessment of wind speed at different recurrence intervals requires the choice of a suitable statistical distribution and an unbiased method of parameter estimation. This study suggests the use of a four parameter Kappa distribution, with its parameters estimated using the method of L-moments, to model Botswana's monthly maximum wind speed data at six meteorological weather stations. These synoptic weather stations are Gaborone, Sir Seretse Khama Airport, Tsabong, Tshane, Gantsi and Maun which are broadly spread across the country's economic activity centres. . These results can reliably be used by environmentalists and technologists working in the energy sector in Botswana.
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