Accurate building construction cost prediction is critical, especially for sustainable projects (i.e., green buildings). Green building construction contracts are relatively new to the construction industry, where stakeholders have limited experience in contract cost estimation. Unlike conventional building construction, green buildings are designed to utilize new technologies to reduce their operations’ environmental and societal impacts. Consequently, green buildings’ construction bidding and awarding processes have become more complicated due to difficulties forecasting the initial construction costs and setting integrated selection criteria for the winning bidders. Thus, robust green building cost prediction modeling is essential to provide stakeholders with an initial construction cost benchmark to enhance decision-making. The current study presents machine learning-based algorithms, including extreme gradient boosting (XGBOOST), deep neural network (DNN), and random forest (RF), to predict green building costs. The proposed models are designed to consider the influence of soft and hard cost-related attributes. Evaluation metrics (i.e., MAE, MSE, MAPE, and R2) are applied to evaluate and compare the developed algorithms’ accuracy. XGBOOST provided the highest accuracy of 0.96 compared to 0.91 for the DNN, followed by RF with an accuracy of 0.87. The proposed machine learning models can be utilized as a decision support tool for construction project managers and practitioners to advance automation as a coherent field of research within the green construction industry.
PurposeHeavy equipment residual value forecasting is dynamic as it relies on the age, type, brand and model of the equipment, ranking condition, place of sale, operating hours and other macroeconomic gauges. The main objective of this study is to predict the residual value of the main types of heavy construction equipment. The residual value of heavy construction equipment is predicted via deep learning (DL) and machine learning (ML) approaches.Design/methodology/approachBased on deep and machine learning regression network integrated with data mining, random forest (RF), decision tree (DT), deep neural network (DNN) and linear regression (LR)-based modeling decision support models are developed. This research aims to forecast the residual value for different types of heavy construction equipment. A comprehensive investigation of publicly accessible auction data related to various types and categories of construction equipment was utilized to generate the model's training and testing datasets. In total, four performance metrics (i.e. the mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and coefficient of determination (R2)) were used to measure and compare the developed algorithms' accuracy.FindingsThe developed algorithm's efficiency has been demonstrated by comparing the deep and machine learning predictions with real residual value. The accuracy of the results obtained by different proposed modeling techniques was comparable based on the performance evaluation metrics. DT shows the highest accuracy of 0.9111 versus RF with an accuracy of 0.8123, followed by DNN with an accuracy of 0.7755 and the linear regression with an accuracy of 0.5967.Originality/valueThe proposed novel model is designed as a supportive tool for construction project managers for equipment selling, purchasing, overhauling, repairing, disposing and replacing decisions.
The rapid growth of using the short links in steel buildings due to their high shear strength and rotational capacity attracts the attention of structural engineers to investigate the performance of short links. However, insignificant attention has been oriented to efficiently developing a comprehensive model to forecast the shear strength of short links, which is expected to enhance the steel structures’ constructability. As machine learning algorithms was successfully used in various fields of structural engineering, the current study fills the gap in estimating the shear strength of short links using sophisticated machine learning algorithms. The deriving factors such as web and flange slenderness ratios, the flange-to-web area ratio, the forces in web and flange, and the link length ratio were investigated in this study, which is imperative to formulate an integrated prediction model. Consequently, the aim of this study utilizes advanced machine learning (ML) models (i.e., Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBOOST), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to produce accurate forecasting for the shear strength. In this study, publicly available datasets were used for the training, testing, and validation. Different evaluation metrics were employed to evaluate the prediction’s performance of the used models, such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and Coefficient of Determination (R2). The prediction result displays that the XGBOOST and LightGBM provided better, and more reliable results compared to ANN and the AISC code. The XGBOOST and LightGBM models yielded higher values of R2, lower (RMSE), (MAE), and (MAPE) values and have shown to perform more accurate. Therefore, the overall outcomes showed that the LightGBM outperformed the XGBOOST model. Moreover, the overstrength ratio predicted by the LightGBM showed an excellent performance compared to the Gene Expression and Finite Element-based models. The developed models are vital for practitioners to predict the shear strength accurately, which pave the road towards wider application for automation in the steel buildings.
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