To support the global restart of elective surgery, data from an international prospective cohort study of 8492 patients (69 countries) was analysed using artificial intelligence (machine learning techniques) to develop a predictive score for mortality in surgical patients with SARS-CoV-2. We found that patient rather than operation factors were the best predictors and used these to create the COVIDsurg Mortality Score (https://covidsurgrisk.app). Our data demonstrates that it is safe to restart a wide range of surgical services for selected patients.

Introduction The National Audit Office (2010) report estimated there was 20,000 cases of major trauma per year in England; of which 5,400 died and many others sustaining permanent disability. Blunt chest wall injuries are associated with high levels of morbidity and mortality, and we aimed to investigate the impact of poor pain control in patient outcomes. Method Compliance with trust guidelines was assessed via a retrospective audit of all chest trauma patients between October 2019-20. Results 28 chest trauma patients identified (M:F 15:13) with ages ranging from 47-94 yrs old (average age 73). Chest trauma was associated with high levels of morbidity (32%) and mortality (7%). 39% patients were found to have inadequate pain control. Only 17% patients eligible for regional anaesthetic blocks were performed within 24hrs. 33% patients developed hospital acquired pneumonias (HAP), of which 44% had received inadequate pain control. Average admission length of patients with a HAP was 15 days compared to 5 days without. 85% patients experienced either delayed or no assessment by specialist teams (i.e., physiotherapy, pain team). Conclusions Chest trauma patients often receive inadequate pain control and delayed specialist team input resulting in increased frequency of HAPs, admission length and morbidity/mortality.

Introduction Patients with blunt chest wall injuries often have severe associated injuries and even isolated chest injuries may have a high mortality and morbidity. The National Audit Office (2010) report estimated that there are 20,000 cases of major trauma per year in England; 5,400 people die of their injuries with many others sustaining permanent disability. Aim To assess compliance with trust guidelines for chest trauma pathway and the impact of poorly controlled pain on hospital acquired pneumonia (HAP) rate and hospital admission length Method A retrospective audit of all chest trauma between October 2019 to February 2020. Data obtained from electronic patient records and admission notes. Patients notes and imaging records are used to analyse adequate pain control based on local chest trauma pathways. Results 28 patients identified (M:F 15:13) aged 47-94 yrs old (average age 73) who suffered from chest trauma in a district general hospital in England. Chest trauma was associated with high levels of morbidity (32%) and mortality (7%). 39% of patients were found to have inadequate pain control based on the local chest trauma pathway. 33% of chest trauma patients developed a HAP and 44% of pts with inadequate pain control developed a HAP. The admission length of patients with HAP secondary to chest trauma was on average three times longer relative to uncomplicated patients (15 days vs 5 days). Conclusions Chest trauma patients often receive inadequate pain control and delayed specialist team input. This results in an increase in the frequency of HAPs and admission length.