Brucellosis is a zoonotic infection caused by Gram-negative bacteria of genus Brucella. The disease is of public health, veterinary, and economic significance in most of the developed and developing countries. Direct contact between susceptible and infective animals or their contaminated products are the two major routes of the disease transmission. In this paper, we investigate the impacts of controls of livestock vaccination, gradual culling through slaughter of seropositive cattle and small ruminants, environmental hygiene and sanitation, and personal protection in humans on the transmission dynamics of Brucellosis. The necessary conditions for an optimal control problem are rigorously analyzed using Pontryagin’s maximum principle. The main ambition is to minimize the spread of brucellosis disease in the community as well as the costs of control strategies. Findings showed that the effective use of livestock vaccination, gradual culling through slaughter of seropositive cattle and small ruminants, environmental hygiene and sanitation, and personal protection in humans have a significant impact in minimizing the disease spread in livestock and human populations. Moreover, cost-effectiveness analysis of the controls showed that the combination of livestock vaccination, gradual culling through slaughter, environmental sanitation, and personal protection in humans has high impact and lower cost of prevention.
Brucellosis is a neglected zoonotic infection caused by gram-negative bacteria of genus brucella. In this paper, a deterministic mathematical model for the infectiology of brucellosis with vaccination of ruminants, culling of seropositive animals through slaughter, and proper environmental hygiene and sanitation is formulated and analyzed. A positive invariant region of the formulated model is established using the Box Invariance method, the effective reproduction number, R e of the model is computed using the standard next generation approach. We prove that the brucellosis free equilibrium exists, locally and globally asymptotically stable if R e < 1 while the endemic equilibrium point exists, locally and globally asymptotically stable if R e > 1. Sensitivity analysis of the effective reproductive number shows that, natural mortality rate of ruminants, recruitment rate, ruminant to ruminant transmission rate, vaccination rate, and disease induced culling rate are the most sensitive parameters and should be targeted in designing of the control strategies for the disease. Numerical simulation is done to show the variations of each subpopulation with respect to the control parameters.
A modeling approach to investigate the dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics coupled with fear is presented in this paper. The basic reproduction number R 0 is computed and employed in analysing the effect of initial transmission and the conditions for disease control or eradication. Numerical simulations show that whenever there is an outbreak coupled with fear, the disease is likely to persist in the first two months, and after that, it will start to slow down as the recovery rate from fear increases. An increase in the number of recovered individuals lead to a rise in the number of susceptibles and consequently set off a second wave of infection in the third month of the epidemic.
A deterministic mathematical model for brucellosis that incorporates seasonality on direct and indirect transmission parameters for domestic ruminants, wild animals, humans, and the environment was formulated and analyzed in this paper. Both analytical and numerical simulations are presented. From this study, the findings show that variations in seasonal weather have the great impact on the transmission dynamics of brucellosis in humans, livestock, and wild animals. Thus, in order for the disease to be controlled or eliminated, measures should be timely implemented upon the fluctuation in the transmission of the disease.
Lassa fever is a deadly viral disease whose incubation period ranges from six to twenty-one days and about eighty percent of Lassa virus infection is asymptomatic. A deterministic model was formulated to quantify the transmission dynamics of the disease under isolation and treatment of the isolated asymptomatic and symptomatic humans for effective management and possible elimination of the disease. The solutions of the model were shown to be positive and bounded. Equilibrium analysis was conducted and both the disease-free and the endemic equilibria were derived. The threshold quantity for disease elimination , $R_{0}$ , was also obtained and used to derive conditions for the existence of stability of the eqilibria. The quantity was also employed to examine the sensitivity of the model parameters to disease propagation and reduction. The theoretical analysis was then complemented with the quantitative analysis by adopting a set of realistic values for the model parameters in order to show the effect of isolation and treatment on the spread and fatality of Lassa fever. Results from the quantitative study showed that death and infection from Lassa fever fell continuously as more and more exposed individuals were detected and isolated for treatment. The study therefore suggested that any measure taken to eradicate or curtail Lassa fever spread should include detection and isolation of the exposed humans for prompt treatments.
Banana Xanthomonas Wilt disease (BXW) is a destructive bacterial disease that highly threatens banana production in East and Central Africa. It is caused by a bacteria known as. In this paper, a mathematical model for the dynamics and control of BXW disease is formulated and analyzed. Numerical simulations were performed to examine the impact of participatory community education programmes, clearance of Xcm bacteria in the soil, single diseased stem removal, and vertical transmission control strategies. It was found that participatory community farming education programmes, timely removal of infected banana plants, clearance of Xcm bacteria in the soil dramatically reduce the number of secondary infections hence greatly contributing to the control of the BXW disease. The study recommends that, along with the existing control measures such as sterilization of farming tools, timely removal of the male bud using a forked stick and planting healthy suckers, more emphasis should be invested in educating farmers on disease detection and management strategies and increasing the rate of clearing Xcm bacteria in the soil so as to avoid persistence of the disease in the farms.
Brucellosis is a zoonotic bacterial infection that can be acquired by humans from infected animals' meat, urine, body fluids, aborted materials, unpasteurized milk, and milk products or contaminated environment. Mathematical models for infectious diseases have been used as important tools in providing useful information regarding the transmission and effectiveness of the available control strategies. In this paper, a review of the available compartmental mathematical models for Brucellosis was done. The main purpose was to assess their structure, populations involved, the available control strategies and suitability in predicting the disease incidence and prevalence in different settings. Diversities have been observed in the reviewed mathematical models; some models incorporated seasonal variations in a single animal population, some ignored the contributions of the contaminated environment while others considered the cattle or sheep population only. Most of the models reviewed have not considered the contribution of wild animals in the dynamics of Brucellosis. Some models do not match the real situation in most affected areas like sub-Saharan African region and Asian countries where wild animals, cattle and small ruminants share grazing areas and water points. Thus, to avoid unreliable results, this review reveals the need to affirm and incorporate wild animals, livestock, humans and seasonal weather parameters in the spread of Brucellosis and in planning for its controls.
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