An accurate closed-form solution is obtained to the SIR Epidemic Model through the use of Asymptotic Approximants (Barlow et al., 2017). The solution is created by analytically continuing the divergent power series solution such that it matches the long-time asymptotic behavior of the epidemic model. The utility of the analytical form is demonstrated through its application to the COVID-19 pandemic.

A compact and accurate solution method is provided for problems whose infinite power series solution diverges and/or whose series coefficients are only known up to a finite order. The method only requires that either the power series solution or some truncation of the power series solution be available and that some asymptotic behavior of the solution is known away from the series' expansion point. Here, we formalize the method of asymptotic approximants that has found recent success in its application to thermodynamic virial series where only a few to (at most) a dozen series coefficients are typically known. We demonstrate how asymptotic approximants may be constructed using simple recurrence relations, obtained through the use of a few known rules of series manipulation. The result is an approximant that bridges two asymptotic regions of the unknown exact solution, while maintaining accuracy in-between. A general algorithm is provided to construct such approximants. To demonstrate the versatility of the 1 method, approximants are constructed for three nonlinear problems relevant to mathematical physics: the Sakiadis boundary layer, the Blasius boundary layer, and the Flierl-Petviashvili monopole. The power series solution to each of these problems is underspecified since, in the absence of numerical simulation, one lower-order coefficient is not known; consequently, higher-order coefficients that depend recursively on this coefficient are also unknown. The constructed approximants are capable of predicting this unknown coefficient as well as other important properties inherent to each problem. The approximants lead to new benchmark values for the Sakiadis boundary layer and agree with recent numerical values for properties of the Blasius boundary layer and Flierl-Petviashvili monopole.

The mathematical structure imposed by the thermodynamic critical point motivates an approximant that synthesizes two theoretically sound equations of state: the parametric and the virial. The former is constructed to describe the critical region, incorporating all scaling laws; the latter is an expansion about zero density, developed from molecular considerations. The approximant is shown to yield an equation of state capable of accurately describing properties over a large portion of the thermodynamic parameter space, far greater than that covered by each treatment alone.

The low-density equation of state of a fluid along its critical isotherm is considered. An asymptotically consistent approximant is formed having the correct leading-order scaling behavior near the vapor-liquid critical point, while retaining the correct low-density behavior as expressed by the virial equation of state. The formulation is demonstrated for the Lennard-Jones fluid, and models for helium, water, and n-alkanes. The ability of the approximant to augment virial series predictions of critical properties is explored, both in conjunction with and in the absence of criticalproperty data obtained by other means. Given estimates of the critical point from molecular simulation or experiment, the approximant can refine the critical pressure or density by ensuring that the critical isotherm remains well-behaved from low density to the critical region. Alternatively, when applied in the absence of other data, the approximant remedies a consistent underestimation of the critical density when computed from the virial series alone. V C 2014 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 60: 3336-3349, 2014 Keywords: virial equation of state, critical phenomena, crossover, approximant, Lennard-Jones P c . When solved using a sufficiently high-order virial series, these predictions for T c and P c are often close to simulation data and/or experiments, but those for q c are consistently about 10% too low in such a comparison. 4,8 Underestimation of the critical density by the virial series is connected to the nonclassical behavior of real fluids at the critical point, for which critical scaling laws assert that q c is a branch-point singularity of the function P(q) along the critical isotherm. In the context of critical phenomena, the molar In this section, critical isotherms are constructed using given values of the critical density q c , critical pressure P c , Values are given in Lennard-Jones units. Virial coefficients are from Schultz et al. 5 q c,AJ is the corrected critical density given by the smallest positive root of (7), which takes the following as inputs: d 5 4.789; P c , q c , and T c as predicted by the virial series at each order J (given above); and the corresponding virial coefficients (taken from an interpolation). Numbers in parentheses specify the 68% uncertainty on the last digit, propagated from uncertainty in the virial coefficients (with the exception of the simulation values). a Predicted using (7) with P c,sim , T c,sim , and the first seven virial coefficients taken at T c,sim (from an interpolation) as inputs.

A modified Padé approximant is used to construct an equation of state, which has the same large-density asymptotic behavior as the model fluid being described, while still retaining the low-density behavior of the virial equation of state (virial series). Within this framework, all sequences of rational functions that are analytic in the physical domain converge to the correct behavior at the same rate, eliminating the ambiguity of choosing the correct form of Padé approximant. The method is applied to fluids composed of "soft" spherical particles with separation distance r interacting through an inverse-power pair potential, φ = ε(σ∕r)(n), where ε and σ are model parameters and n is the "hardness" of the spheres. For n < 9, the approximants provide a significant improvement over the 8-term virial series, when compared against molecular simulation data. For n ≥ 9, both the approximants and the 8-term virial series give an accurate description of the fluid behavior, when compared with simulation data. When taking the limit as n → ∞, an equation of state for hard spheres is obtained, which is closer to simulation data than the 10-term virial series for hard spheres, and is comparable in accuracy to other recently proposed equations of state. By applying a least square fit to the approximants, we obtain a general and accurate soft-sphere equation of state as a function of n, valid over the full range of density in the fluid phase.

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A largely unexplored type of hydrodynamic instability is examined: long-time algebraic growth. Such growth is possible when the dispersion relation extracted from classical stability analysis indicates neutral stability. A physically motivated class of partial differential equations that describes the response of a system to disturbances is examined. Specifically, the propagation characteristics of the response are examined in the context of spatiotemporal stability theory. Morphological differences are identified between system responses that exhibit algebraic growth and the more typical case of exponential growth. One key attribute of predicted algebraically growing solutions is the prevalence of transient growth in almost all of the response, with the long-time growth occurring asymptotically at precisely one wave speed.

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