Because car‐following (CF) models are fundamental to replicating traffic flow they have received considerable attention over the last 50 years. They are in a continuous state of improvement due to their significant role in traffic microsimulations, intelligent transportation systems, and safety engineering models. This article uses the local linear model tree (LOLIMOT) approach to model driver's CF behavior to incorporate human perceptual imperfections into a CF model. This model defines some localities in the input space. These localities are fuzzy and have overlaps with each other. Specific models for each of the localities are then defined and combined in a fuzzy manner to predict the final output. The model was developed using real world dynamic data sets. Three different data sets were used for training, testing, and validating the model. The performance of the model was compared to a number of existing CF models. The results showed very close agreement between the real data and the LOLIMOT outputs.
SUMMARY This study develops a car‐following model in which heavy vehicle behaviour is predicted separately from passenger car. Heavy vehicles have different characteristics and manoeuvrability compared with passenger cars. These differences could create problems in freeway operations and safety under congested traffic conditions (level of service E and F) particularly when there is high proportion of heavy vehicles. With increasing numbers of heavy vehicles in the traffic stream, model estimates of the traffic flow could be degrades because existing car‐following models do not differentiate between these vehicles and passenger cars. This study highlighted some of the differences in car‐following behaviour of heavy vehicle and passenger drivers and developed a model considering heavy vehicles. In this model, the local linear model tree approach was used to incorporate human perceptual imperfections into a car‐following model. Three different real world data sets from a stretch of freeway in USA were used in this study. Two of them were used for the training and testing of the model, and one of them was used for evaluation purpose. The performance of the model was compared with a number of existing car‐following models. The results showed that the model, which considers the heavy vehicle type, could predict car‐following behaviour of drivers better than the existing models. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
In the past decade, the development and the application of traffic micro-simulation to replicate real-world traffic behavior have become pervasive among traffic and transport researchers. The modeling of a driver's car-following behavior, which forms the fundamental component of traffic microsimulation, has meanwhile been an important research direction leading to the sophistication of traffic microsimulation. However, recent studies have pointed out that a driver's following behavior varies when the lead vehicle is a passenger car as opposed to a heavy vehicle. Nevertheless, existing models do not precisely address those differences. This oversight could diversely affect the accuracy of traffic microsimulations, particularly with the current trend of an increasing number of heavy vehicles in the traffic stream. A novel car-following model that considered the heterogeneity of lead vehicles was developed. Two types of lead vehicles were considered in this study: passenger cars and heavy vehicles. The model was developed on the basis of the local linear model tree approach. This approach is able to incorporate human perceptual imperfections into a car-following model. The input space is partitioned incrementally, and a linear model is developed for each locality (partition). The final output is calculated by the fuzzy combination of local models according to the validity function of each model. For training and testing purposes, two real-world data sets were obtained from a U.S. freeway under congested traffic conditions. The results showed very close agreement between the real data and the outputs of the proposed model.
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