Most emerging economies have been affected to some degree by the Fed’s quantitative easing (QE) policies. This paper assesses the impact of these measures in terms of key macroeconomic variables for four inflation-targeting small open economies in Latin America. We identify a QE policy shock in a structural vector autoregressive with block exogeneity and a mixture of zero and sign restrictions. Overall, we find that these QE policies have significant effects on financial variables such as the exchange rate, and these effects are larger with respect to those in output and prices. Furthermore, the effects vary across countries, and these are more significant in Chile and Mexico than in Peru and Colombia.
The Great Moderation is characterized as a period of stable macroeconomic conditions, especially with regard to inflation. Under the sticky information theory, this environment may provide a few incentives for agents to update information on inflation, thus, producing a new slope of the sticky information Phillips curve. We estimate the degree of information rigidity implied by the sticky information Phillips curve. Using threshold models, we identify two regimes of high and low inflation, finding that each identified regime is associated with a specific degree of information stickiness. This evidence is consistent with agents that update information faster when inflation is higher.
The measurement of the sources of economic growth is essential for understanding the long-term perspective of any economy. From an empirical viewpoint, the results from any growth-accounting exercise depend both on the functional form that summarizes the technology set and the factor share values. We estimate the physical capital's share in output implied by a Cobb-Douglas production function.Instead of growth rates, we analyze time series in levels to preserve the long-run information contained in the data. We also make use of the cross-section dimension (between countries) to overcome the low availability of long time series. The Fully Modified OLS (FMOLS) and Dynamic OLS (DOLS) estimators are used in a panel cointegration framework for 109 countries over the 1951-2014 period. For several measures of labor input, our physical capital's share estimates range between 0.46 and 0.56 for the largest set of countries. Our estimates of the physical capital's share in output vary significantly across regions.
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