Monitoring of the epidemic situation with African swine fever was carried out in the Krasnodar region (federal subject of Russia) in 2008-2013. This made it possible to determine sources, routes and factors promoting African swine fever spread. The major sources of the epidemic were presented by sick and dead wild and domestic pigs, non-decontaminated condemned meat products. During this time forty three outbreaks of this disease were reported in this region; more than 280 ths of pigs died and were destroyed, 36 pig enterprises were closed and it caused a great economic damage to pig farming industry of the region. Transmission factors were as followed: transport facilities that visited affected focal points and were not decontaminated to an accomplished standard, contaminated by African swine fever virus feeds, equipment, etc. Predictions on a possibility of occurrence of new disease cases in time and space are made using available information on ASF spread in the territory of the RF. As a result, a possibility to coordinate future efforts aimed at the disease surveillance in corresponding territories independently of reports from the given region emerges.
In the process of work an assessment of the characteristics of the epizootic manifestation of quarantine diseases of animals and poultry as well as the risks of their occurrence and spread were made. On the territory of the Russian Federation are registered more than 30 nosological forms of infections, infestations and foodborne toxicological infections. According to the research, the epizootic situation in Krasnodar region regarding quarantine infections remains stable, despite the registration of 755 adverse areas for quarantine infections over a 10 year observation period. Since 2013, the number of adverse areas has decreased from 119 to 32. A similar trend is observed in the decrease in the linear trend of the focal incidence from 102.3 to 10.1. The highest focal index for the study period was found in cases of avian influenza 112.9, African swine fever 105.3 and bovine leucosis -55.8. An increased risk of the occurance of the diseases of this group on the territory of Krasnodar region exists in marchapril-may, june and august.
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