The volatility analysis of stock returns data is paramount in financial studies. We investigate the dynamics of volatility and randomness of the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX-100) and obtain insights into the behavior of investors during and before the coronavirus disease (COVID-19 pandemic). The paper aims to present the volatility estimations and quantification of the randomness of PSX-100. The methodology includes two approaches: (i) the implementation of EGARCH, GJR-GARCH, and TGARCH models to estimate the volatilities; and (ii) analysis of randomness in volatilities series, return series, and PSX-100 closing prices for pre-pandemic and pandemic period by using Shannon’s, Tsallis, approximate and sample entropies. Volatility modeling suggests the existence of the leverage effect in both the underlying periods of study. The results obtained using GARCH modeling reveal that the stock market volatility has increased during the pandemic period. However, information-theoretic results based on Shannon and Tsallis entropies do not suggest notable variation in the estimated volatilities series and closing prices. We have examined regularity and randomness based on the approximate entropy and sample entropy. We have noticed both entropies are extremely sensitive to choices of the parameters.
This paper aims to empirically examine long memory and bi-directional information flow between estimated volatilities of highly volatile time series datasets of five cryptocurrencies. We propose the employment of Garman and Klass (GK), Parkinson’s, Rogers and Satchell (RS), and Garman and Klass-Yang and Zhang (GK-YZ), and Open-High-Low-Close (OHLC) volatility estimators to estimate cryptocurrencies’ volatilities. The study applies methods such as mutual information, transfer entropy (TE), effective transfer entropy (ETE), and Rényi transfer entropy (RTE) to quantify the information flow between estimated volatilities. Additionally, Hurst exponent computations examine the existence of long memory in log returns and OHLC volatilities based on simple R/S, corrected R/S, empirical, corrected empirical, and theoretical methods. Our results confirm the long-run dependence and non-linear behavior of all cryptocurrency’s log returns and volatilities. In our analysis, TE and ETE estimates are statistically significant for all OHLC estimates. We report the highest information flow from BTC to LTC volatility (RS). Similarly, BNB and XRP share the most prominent information flow between volatilities estimated by GK, Parkinson’s, and GK-YZ. The study presents the practicable addition of OHLC volatility estimators for quantifying the information flow and provides an additional choice to compare with other volatility estimators, such as stochastic volatility models.
The aim of this paper consists in developing an entropy-based approach to risk assessment for actuarial models involving truncated and censored random variables by using the Tsallis entropy measure. The effect of some partial insurance models, such as inflation, truncation and censoring from above and truncation and censoring from below upon the entropy of losses is investigated in this framework. Analytic expressions for the per-payment and per-loss entropies are obtained, and the relationship between these entropies are studied. The Tsallis entropy of losses of the right-truncated loss random variable corresponding to the per-loss risk model with a deductible d and a policy limit u is computed for the exponential, Weibull, χ2 or Gamma distribution. In this context, the properties of the resulting entropies, such as the residual loss entropy and the past loss entropy, are studied as a result of using a deductible and a policy limit, respectively. Relationships between these entropy measures are derived, and the combined effect of a deductible and a policy limit is also analyzed. By investigating residual and past entropies for survival models, the entropies of losses corresponding to the proportional hazard and proportional reversed hazard models are derived. The Tsallis entropy approach for actuarial models involving truncated and censored random variables is new and more realistic, since it allows a greater degree of flexibility and improves the modeling accuracy.
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