Drought is a natural hazard, which is a result of a prolonged shortage of precipitation, high temperature and change in the weather pattern. Drought harms society, the economy and the natural environment, but it is difficult to identify and characterize. Many areas of Pakistan have suffered severe droughts during the last three decades due to changes in the weather pattern. A drought analysis with the incorporation of climate information has not yet been undertaken in this study region. Here, we propose an ensemble approach for monthly drought prediction and to define and examine wet/dry events. Initially, the drought events were identified by the short term Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI-3). Drought is predicted based on three ensemble models i.e., Equal Ensemble Drought Prediction (EEDP), Weighted Ensemble Drought Prediction (WEDP) and the Conditional Ensemble Drought Prediction (CEDP) model. Besides, two weighting procedures are used for distributing weights in the WEDP model, such as Traditional Weighting (TW) and the Weighted Bootstrap Resampling (WBR) procedure. Four copula families (i.e., Frank, Clayton, Gumbel and Joe) are used to explain the dependency relation between climate indices and precipitation in the CEDP model. Among all four copula families, the Joe copula has been found suitable for most of the times. The CEDP model provides better results in terms of accuracy and uncertainty as compared to other ensemble models for all meteorological stations. The performance of the CEDP model indicates that the climate indices are correlated with a weather pattern of four meteorological stations. Moreover, the percentage occurrence of extreme drought events that have appeared in the Multan, Bahawalpur, Barkhan and Khanpur are 1.44%, 0.57%, 2.59% and 1.71%, respectively, whereas the percentage occurrence of extremely wet events are 2.3%, 1.72%, 0.86% and 2.86%, respectively. The understanding of drought pattern by including climate information can contribute to the knowledge of future agriculture and water resource management.

A temporal imbalance in the water availability, which is consistently below average or more than average rainfall, can lead to extremely dry or wet conditions. This impacts on agricultural yields, water resources and human activities. Weather instabilities and trends of wet/dry events have not yet been explored in Pakistan. In this study, we have two-fold objectives: (1) evaluate the weather instabilities, and (2) the trend of dry/wet events of selected stations of Pakistan. To observe weather instabilities, we used Mean Marginal Hilbert Spectrum (MMHS) and Continuous Wavelet Power Spectrum (CWPS) as meteorological series are mostly non-linear and non-stationary. We used Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) for the analysis of temporal characteristics of dry/wet events. We found that all stations are facing severe weather instabilities during the short period of 5 and 10 months using MMHS method and CWPS has shown the weather instabilities during 4 to 32 months of periodicity for all stations. Ultimately, the achieved short-term weather instabilities indicated by MMHS is consistent with CWPS. In summary, these findings might be useful for water resource management and policymakers.

Fault tolerance, performance, and throughput have been major areas of research and development since the evolution of large-scale networks. Internet-based applications are rapidly growing, including large-scale computations, search engines, high-definition video streaming, e-commerce, and video on demand. In recent years, energy efficiency and fault tolerance have gained significant importance in data center networks and various studies directed the attention towards green computing. Data centers consume a huge amount of energy and various architectures and techniques have been proposed to improve the energy efficiency of data centers. However, there is a tradeoff between energy efficiency and fault tolerance. The objective of this study is to highlight a better tradeoff between the two extremes: (a) high energy efficiency and (b) ensuring high availability through fault tolerance and redundancy. The main objective of the proposed Energy-Aware Fault-Tolerant (EAFT) approach is to keep one level of redundancy for fault tolerance while scheduling resources for energy efficiency. The resultant energy-efficient data center network provides availability as well as fault tolerance at reduced operating cost. The main contributions of this article are: (a) we propose an Energy-Aware Fault-Tolerant (EAFT) data center network scheduler; (b) we compare EAFT with energy efficient resource scheduling techniques to provide analysis of parameters such as, workload distribution, average task per servers, and energy consumption; and (c) we highlight effects of energy efficiency techniques on the network performance of the data center.

Since the initial detection of the novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China, at the end of 2019, the virus has spread rapidly worldwide and has become a global health threat. Due to rising infections, it has a significant impact on society as well as the economy. Although vaccines and treatment are available now, there is a need to control the pandemic's spread by appropriate strategies and policies. This study evaluates incidence such as positive rates and mortality rates through breakpoints, which were not undertaken in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. In this regard, we have two-fold objectives: (1) to forecast the cumulative confirmed cases and death cases and (2) to compute the incidence rate within two consecutive days and evaluate the forecasted periods. The autoregressive integrated moving average model is used to forecast the cumulative confirmed cases and death cases for two months. The segmented regression model is used to split the pandemic time series into six periods and compute the incidence rate. Our results show that cumulative confirmed cases will reach 335733 in Kuwait and 445805 in Saudi Arabia by the beginning of June 2021. The cumulative death cases will reach 1830 and 7283 in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, respectively. However, the positive rate will increase during the forecasted period in both countries, while the death rate will decrease in Kuwait and increase in Saudi Arabia. The study results can help public health organizations and decision-makers to control the spread of infectious diseases.