ABSTRAKPrediksi keuntungan bisnis ayam digunakan untuk membantu peternak ayam dalam meramalkan keuntungan yang diperoleh di panen selanjutnya. Dengan adanya sebuah prediksi keuntungan, peternak dapat melakukan antisipasi apabila di panen selanjutnya mengalami untung sedikit atau gagal panen. Selain itu,agar peternak tetap memiliki modal usaha dan tidak mengalami tutup kandang (bangkrut). Di dalam penelitian ini penulis membandingkan dua metode yang cocok digunakan dalam kasus ini, yaitu metode triple exponential smoothing. Data yang digunakan dalam perhitungan yaitu data keuntungan pada panen sebelumnya. Untuk mengetahui nilai kecocokan kedua metode tersebut penulis menggunakan mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) untuk mengetahui persentase nilai eror. Berdasarkan pencarian nilai MAPE, metode triple exponential smoothing menghasilkan nilai MAPE sebesar 12.10% dengan nilai α=0.3. Sedangkan dengan percobaan mencari nilai prediksi keuntungan untuk 2 panen selanjutnya diperoleh selisih sebesar Rp. 19,935,410. ABSTRACTThe prediction of the profitability of the chicken business is used to help chicken farmers in predicting the profits obtained in the future. With the prediction of victory, breeders can anticipate payments at harvest then add a little profit or crop failure. In addition, for farmers to still have business capital and do not need to close the cage (bankrupt). In this study, the authors compared two suitable methods used in this case, the triple exponential smoothing method. The data used in the calculation is the acquisition data on the previous harvest. To determine the suitability of the two methods, the writer uses the average percentage of absolute error (MAPE) to find out the percentage error value. Based on the search for MAPE values, the triple exponential smoothing method produces a MAPE value of 12.10% with a value of α = 0.3. While with the added value of estimated profits for the next 2 revenues, a difference of Rp. 19,935,410.
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