Summary Background Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest incidence, prevalence, and fatality from stroke globally. Yet, only little information about context-specific risk factors for prioritising interventions to reduce the stroke burden in sub-Saharan Africa is available. We aimed to identify and characterise the effect of the top modifiable risk factors for stroke in sub-Saharan Africa. Methods The Stroke Investigative Research and Educational Network (SIREN) study is a multicentre, case-control study done at 15 sites in Nigeria and Ghana. Cases were adults (aged ≥18 years) with stroke confirmed by CT or MRI. Controls were age-matched and gender-matched stroke-free adults (aged ≥18 years) recruited from the communities in catchment areas of cases. Comprehensive assessment for vascular, lifestyle, and psychosocial factors was done using standard instruments. We used conditional logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and population-attributable risks (PARs) with 95% CIs. Findings Between Aug 28, 2014, and June 15, 2017, we enrolled 2118 case-control pairs (1192 [56%] men) with mean ages of 59.0 years (SD 13.8) for cases and 57.8 years (13.7) for controls. 1430 (68%) had ischaemic stoke, 682 (32%) had haemorrhagic stroke, and six (<1%) had discrete ischaemic and haemorrhagic lesions. 98.2% (95% CI 97.2–99.0) of adjusted PAR of stroke was associated with 11 potentially modifiable risk factors with ORs and PARs in descending order of PAR of 19.36 (95% CI 12.11–30.93) and 90.8% (95% CI 87.9–93.7) for hypertension, 1.85 (1.44–2.38) and 35.8% (25.3–46.2) for dyslipidaemia, 1.59 (1.19–2.13) and 31.1% (13.3–48.9) for regular meat consumption, 1.48 (1.13–1.94) and 26.5% (12.9–40.2) for elevated waist-to-hip ratio, 2.58 (1.98–3.37) and 22.1% (17.8–26.4) for diabetes, 2.43 (1.81–3.26) and 18.2% (14.1–22.3) for low green leafy vegetable consumption, 1.89 (1.40–2.54) and 11.6% (6.6–16.7) for stress, 2.14 (1.34–3.43) and 5.3% (3.3–7.3) for added salt at the table, 1.65 (1.09–2.49) and 4.3% (0.6–7.9) for cardiac disease, 2.13 (1.12–4.05) and 2.4% (0.7–4.1) for physical inactivity, and 4.42 (1.75–11.16) and 2.3% (1.5–3.1) for current cigarette smoking. Ten of these factors were associated with ischaemic stroke and six with haemorrhagic stroke occurrence. Interpretation Implementation of interventions targeting these leading risk factors at the population level should substantially curtail the burden of stroke among Africans. Funding National Institutes of Health.

Previous genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of stroke — the second leading cause of death worldwide — were conducted predominantly in populations of European ancestry1,2. Here, in cross-ancestry GWAS meta-analyses of 110,182 patients who have had a stroke (five ancestries, 33% non-European) and 1,503,898 control individuals, we identify association signals for stroke and its subtypes at 89 (61 new) independent loci: 60 in primary inverse-variance-weighted analyses and 29 in secondary meta-regression and multitrait analyses. On the basis of internal cross-ancestry validation and an independent follow-up in 89,084 additional cases of stroke (30% non-European) and 1,013,843 control individuals, 87% of the primary stroke risk loci and 60% of the secondary stroke risk loci were replicated (P < 0.05). Effect sizes were highly correlated across ancestries. Cross-ancestry fine-mapping, in silico mutagenesis analysis3, and transcriptome-wide and proteome-wide association analyses revealed putative causal genes (such as SH3PXD2A and FURIN) and variants (such as at GRK5 and NOS3). Using a three-pronged approach4, we provide genetic evidence for putative drug effects, highlighting F11, KLKB1, PROC, GP1BA, LAMC2 and VCAM1 as possible targets, with drugs already under investigation for stroke for F11 and PROC. A polygenic score integrating cross-ancestry and ancestry-specific stroke GWASs with vascular-risk factor GWASs (integrative polygenic scores) strongly predicted ischaemic stroke in populations of European, East Asian and African ancestry5. Stroke genetic risk scores were predictive of ischaemic stroke independent of clinical risk factors in 52,600 clinical-trial participants with cardiometabolic disease. Our results provide insights to inform biology, reveal potential drug targets and derive genetic risk prediction tools across ancestries.

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Background and Purpose The relative contributions of racial and geographic factors to higher risk of stroke in people of African ancestry have not been unraveled. We compared stroke type and contributions of vascular risk factors among indigenous Africans (IA), African Americans (AA) and European Americans (EA). Methods SIREN is a large multinational case-control study in West Africa - the ancestral home of 71% AA - whilst REGARDS is a cohort study including AA and EA in United States. Using harmonized assessments and standard definitions, we compared data on stroke type and established risk factors for stroke in acute stroke cases age ≥55 years in both studies. Results There were 811 IA, 452 AA and 665 EA stroke subjects, with mean age of 68.0±9.3, 73.0±8.3 and 76.0±8.3 years respectively (p<0.0001). Hemorrhagic stroke was more frequent among IA (27%) compared to AA (8%) and EA (5.4%; p < 0.001). Lacunar strokes were more prevalent in IA (47.1%), followed by AA (35.1%), and then EA (21.0%; p < 0.0001). The frequency of hypertension in decreasing order was IA (92.8%), followed by AA (82.5%) and then EA (64.2%; p<0.0001) and similarly for diabetes mellitus (DM) IA (38.3%), AA (36.8%) and EA (21.0 %; p<0.0001). Pre-morbid sedentary lifestyle was similar in AA (37.7%) and EA (34.0%) but lower frequency in IA (8.0%). Conclusion Environmental risk factors such as sedentary lifestyle may contribute to the higher proportion of ischemic stroke in AA compared to IA, while racial factors may contribute to the higher proportion of hypertension and DM among stroke subjects of African ancestry.