In this research, we intended to employ the Pearson correlation and a multiscale generalized Shannon-based entropy to trace the transition and type of inherent mutual information as well as correlation structures simultaneously. An optimal value for scale is found to prevent over smoothing, which leads to the removal of useful information. The lowest Singular Value Decomposition Multiscale Generalized Cumulative Residual Entropy (SVDMWGCRE), or SVD Entropy (SVDE), is obtained for periodic–chaotic series, generated by logistic map; hence, the different dynamic, correlation structures, and intrinsic mutual information have been characterized correctly. It is found out that the mutual information between emerging markets entails higher sensitivity, and moreover emerging markets have demonstrated the highest uncertainty among investigated markets. Additionally, the fractional order has synergistic effects on the enhancement of sensitivity with the multiscale feature. According to the logistic map and financial time series results, it can be inferred that the logistic map can be utilized as a financial time series. Further investigations can be performed in other fields through this financial simulation. The temporal evolutions of financial markets are also investigated. Although the results demonstrated higher noisy information for emerging markets, it was illustrated that emerging markets are getting more efficient over time. Additionally, the temporal investigations have demonstrated long-term lag and synchronous phases between developed and emerging markets. We also focused on the COVID-19 pandemic and compared the reactions of developing and emerging markets. It is ascertained that emerging markets have demonstrated higher uncertainty and overreaction to this pandemic.
Examining the importance and influence of financial market companies is one of the main issues in the field of financial management because sometimes the collapse of a stock exchange company can affect an entire financial market. One systematic way to analyze the significance and impacts of companies is to use complex networks based on Interaction Graphs (IGs). There are different methods for quantifying the edge weight in an IG. In this method, the graph vertices represent the stock exchange companies that are connected by weighted edges (corresponding to the extent to which they relate to each other). In this paper, using the GARCH model (1,1) and the Clayton copula, we obtained the lower tail dependence interaction network of the first 52 companies of the Tehran Stock Exchange in terms of average market value, between June 2017 and October 2020. Then, based on the minimum spanning tree of the interaction network, we divided the companies into different communities. Using this classification, it was observed that the companies of the first group (Food Industry) and the second group (Oil Refinery) have the greatest impact on other companies. We also calculated the central indexes of the minimum spanning tree for each company. According to the results, the companies of the third group (Steel) have the highest average in the central indicators.
Multi-scale behaviors emerge in financial markets as complex systems. In this study, we intended to employ multi-scale Shannon entropy to trace the information transition of these phenomena, at different levels of Tehran stock market index (TEDPIX). The obtained results show that, in various magnitude scales and time scales, entropy Granger-causes TEDPIX index in terms of linear and nonlinear aspects. The results revealed that Granger causalities exist between entropy and TEDPIX. The causalities were linear in monthly (noise), quarterly (noise), semi-yearly (noise) and yearly (useful information) time spans; on the other hand, in quarterly (useful information) time span, the causalities were nonlinear. In this regard, one can conclude that entropy would be able to predict the market’s behavior.
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