The aim of this paper is to present an artificial neural network model with high accuracy to predict the delay of passenger trains in Iranian Railways. In the proposed model, we use three different methods to define inputs including normalized real number, binary coding, and binary set encoding inputs. One of the great challenges of using neural network is how to design a superior network for a specific task. To find an appropriate architecture, three different strategies called quick method, dynamic method, and multiple method are investigated. To prevent the proposed model from overfitting in modeling, according to cross validation, we divide existing passenger train delays data set into three subsets called training set, validation set, and testing set. To evaluate the proposed model, we compare the results of three different data input methods and three different architectures with each other and with some common prediction methods such as decision tree and multinomial logistic regression. For comparing different neural networks, we consider training time and accuracy of neural networks on test data set and network size. In addition, for comparing neural networks with other well-known prediction methods, we consider training time and the accuracy of neural network on test data sets. To make a fair comparison among all models, we sketch a time-accuracy graph. The results revealed that the proposed model has higher accuracy. Ã , the hypothesis of independence between two attributes is accepted; otherwise, it is rejected. a is the level of significance (here, a = 0.05), and r and c are the number of rows and columns, respectively. The dependence between two categorical attributes is high if the probability of independence becomes lower than 0.05. For delay, corridor, day, month, year, and
Please cite this article as: M. Yaghini, M. Momeni, M. Sarmadi, M. Seyedabadi, M.M. Khoshraftar, A fuzzy railroad blocking model with genetic algorithm solution approach for Iranian Railways, Appl. Math. Modelling (2014), doi: http://dx. AbstractIn the railway, the fright car classification takes place in the terminals. This classification always imposes a remarkable delay to the movement of the cars from origin to destination. To reduce car handling, it is necessary to group various shipments together with respect to their destination in the railroad blocking plan. In this paper, for the first time, a railroad blocking model with fuzzy travel costs is proposed. In the model, the preferred fuzzy paths are determined by a fuzzy shortest path method. Then, the fuzzy model is transformed into a classic railroad blocking model. The real-life blocking problems are very large with many variables and constraints, and modeling and solving them using commercially available software is very time consuming. Therefore, a solution method based on genetic algorithm is developed. To evaluate the performance of the solution method, several simulated problems are tested and the solutions of genetic algorithm are compared with those of the CPLEX software. The results reveal the algorithm has promising accuracy and computing speed for solving the railroad blocking problem. As a case study, the proposed model for creating the Iranian railway blocking plan is utilized. Iran Railways can significantly diminish the some costs and save the time in delivering the loads.
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