This paper examines and contrasts the feasibility of joint state and parameter estimation of noisedriven chaotic systems using the extended Kalman filter (EKF), ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), and particle filter (PF). In particular, we consider the chaotic vibration of a noisy Duffing oscillator perturbed by combined harmonic and random inputs ensuing a transition probability density function (pdf) of motion which displays strongly non-Gaussian features. This system offers computational simplicity while exhibiting a kaleidoscope of dynamical behavior with a slight change of input and system parameters. An extensive numerical study is undertaken to contrast the performance of various nonlinear filtering algorithms with respect to sparsity of observational data and strength of model and measurement noise. In general, the performance of EnKF is better than PF for smaller ensemble size, while for larger ensembles PF outperforms EnKF. For moderate measurement noise and frequent measurement data, EKF is able to correctly track the dynamics of the system. However, EKF performance is unsatisfactory in the presence of sparse observational data or strong measurement noise.

The DAKOTA (Design Analysis Kit for Optimization and Terascale Applications) toolkit provides a flexible and extensible interface between simulation codes and iterative analysis methods. DAKOTA contains algorithms for optimization with gradient and nongradient-based methods; uncertainty quantification with sampling, reliability, and stochastic finite element methods; parameter estimation with nonlinear least squares methods; and sensitivity/variance analysis with design of experiments and parameter study methods. These capabilities may be used on their own or as components within advanced strategies such as surrogate-based optimization, mixed integer nonlinear programming, or optimization under uncertainty. By employing object-oriented design to implement abstractions of the key components required for iterative systems analyses, the DAKOTA toolkit provides a flexible and extensible problem-solving environment for design and performance analysis of computational models on high performance computers.This report serves as a user's manual for the DAKOTA software and provides capability overviews and procedures for software execution, as well as a variety of example studies.

The DAKOTA (Design Analysis Kit for Optimization and Terascale Applications) toolkit provides a flexible and extensible interface between simulation codes and iterative analysis methods. DAKOTA contains algorithms for optimization with gradient and nongradient-based methods; uncertainty quantification with sampling, reliability, and stochastic finite element methods; parameter estimation with nonlinear least squares methods; and sensitivity/variance analysis with design of experiments and parameter study methods. These capabilities may be used on their own or as components within advanced strategies such as surrogate-based optimization, mixed integer nonlinear programming, or optimization under uncertainty. By employing object-oriented design to implement abstractions of the key components required for iterative systems analyses, the DAKOTA toolkit provides a flexible and extensible problem-solving environment for design and performance analysis of computational models on high performance computers.This report serves as a user's manual for the DAKOTA software and provides capability overviews and procedures for software execution, as well as a variety of example studies.

No abstract

No abstract

No abstract

No abstract

No abstract