<p>In this paper, we tried to examine whether the implementation of inflation targeting (IT) monetary policy and its discipline character allows reducing the budget deficit in emerging countries. To do this, we used the propensity score matching methodology to evaluate the treatment effect of IT on fiscal discipline, in terms of budget deficit performance, in emerging countries has adopted this monetary policy framework. Our empirical analysis, conducted on a sample of 41 economies (20 IT and 21 non-IT economies) for the period from 1990 to 2010, shows that on average IT adoption has had a considerable and significant effect in reducing the budget deficit. Our results are confirmed by the robustness tests and corroborate the literature of disciplining effects of IT regime on the fiscal discipline.</p>
Several studies including Minea, Tapsoba and Villieu (2012) and Lucotte (2012) claim that in emerging countries, the adoption of inflation targeting (IT) monetary policy and its discipline character allow intensifying their efforts to collect tax revenue and/or expenditure rationalization, and allows the reduction of their budget deficits (Kadria and Ben Aissa, 2014). But, the lag in the effect of monetary policy contains vital information for the policy evaluation (Fang and Miller, 2011). Hence, our contribution to the previous literature is then to evaluate the time varying treatment effect of the IT's adoption by emerging countries on their budgetary discipline in terms of reducing or mastering the public deficit. To do this, we used the propensity score matching approach in order to take account of this "lag effect" or from this effect throughout time. Our empirical analysis, conducted on a sample of 41 economies (20 IT and 21 non-IT economies) for the period from 1990 to 2010, shows that the lag in effect of IT on public deficit performance proves to be shorter and gradual for emerging countries that have adopted this monetary policy framework and our conclusions corroborate the literature disciplining effect of IT on fiscal policy.
In this paper, we tried to revisit the transmission degree of exchange rate variations to domestic prices (import prices, MPI; producer prices, PPI; and consumer prices, CPI) in Tunisia. To do this, we used the VAR–SVAR methodology, over the 2000:1–2013:12 period. The adopted mode is gathering national prices, nominal exchange rates, foreign prices and a control variable that is the interest rate. The findings highlights that the pass-through is incomplete for all considered prices. However, the degree of the exchange rate pass-through is the highest on import prices, is moderate on producer prices and is the lowest on consumer prices. Besides, the incomplete pass-through of MPI results from the pricing to market behavior and the lowest pass-through for CPI is due basically to the composition of this index which is administrated by 30% of its components. The impulse response functions analysis, that largely corroborates to the variance decomposition, shows that when the central bank conducts a restrictive monetary policy the inflation decreases without widening the output gap.
In this paper, we tried to contribute to the previous literature by analyzing the relationship between renewable energy consumption, socio-economic factors and health in the presence of a stringent environmental policy and lobbying power. Using a Panel Vector Auto-Regressive (PVAR) technique, we specifically examine the role of the government effectiveness and the lobbying pressure in moderating the impact of renewable energy consumption on CO2 emissions, economic growth and health factor considering the case of Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Net Oil Importing Countries (NOICs) from 1996 to 2019. Our analysis shows that (i) environmental policy stringency and good governance will induce a rise in the level of renewable energy consumption; (ii) lobbying power and interest groups discourage the renewable energy sector’s development since the add in economic growth of these economies is not oriented towards renewable energy projects; (iii) a rise in renewable energy consumption, perhaps generated by renewable energy policies, should favor the improvement of public health. Finally, the political implications of the findings are summarized and discussed.
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