This study numerically investigates the propagation characteristics of hazardous noxious substances (HNSs) spilled from transport ships and suggests the metal model for predicting the HNS propagation velocity varied with the current velocity and HNS density. The commercial computational fluid dynamics (CFD) code ANSYS FLUENT (V. 17.2) was used for two-dimensional simulation based on the Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) equation together with the standard k–ε model. The scalar transport equation was also solved to estimate the spatial and transient behaviors of HNS. The main parameters to analyze the near-field propagation characteristics of HNSs spilled from the ship were layer thickness, HNS concentration, and propagation velocity. It was found that advection becomes more dominant in propagating an HNS layer that becomes thinner as the current velocity increases. When the current velocity increased beyond a certain level (~0.75 m/s), the mixing effect made the HNS layer less dense but thicker. Consequently, lower-density HNS causes increased HNS concentrations at sea level. As the current velocity increased, the concentration distribution became homogeneous regardless of HNS density. In particular, the second-order response surface model provided for three variables on the basis of the numerical results for 15 cases with the use of the general least-squares regression method, showing a good fit. This model would be useful in estimating the propagation velocity of HNS spilled from a ship.
The present study aimed to numerically establish a new metamodel for predicting the propagation distribution of styrene, which is one of the hazardous and noxious substances (HNSs) spilled from ships. Three-dimensional computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations were conducted for 80 different scenarios to gather large amounts of data on the spatial distribution of the change in concentration over time. We used the commercial code of ANSYS Fluent (V.17.2) to solve the Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes equations, together with the scalar transport equation. Based on the CFD results, we adopted the well-known kriging model to create a metamodel that estimated the propagation velocity and spatial distributions by considering the effect of the current surface velocity, deep current velocity, surface layer depth, and crack position. The results show that the metamodel accurately predicted the changes in the local distribution of styrene over time. This model was also evaluated using the hidden-point test.
This study aims to numerically analyze the near-field propagation behavior of hazardous and noxious substances (HNSs) and to develop a new metamodel for HNS propagation. Extensive computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations were conducted using the ANSYS FLUENT (V. 17.2) code for various HNS spill scenarios. We newly introduced several key parameters, including the streamwise propagation velocity, transverse propagation velocity, and averaged HNS mass fraction. From the results, the advection effect is more dominant with an increase in the current velocity and streamwise propagation velocity, and with a decrease in the transverse propagation velocity. Also, the HNS mass fraction decreases as the current velocity increases with the change of concentration and propagation area. Particularly, a new metamodel of HNS propagation based on the current CFD results was validated by the hidden point test, showing very good fit. We believe this model would make useful predictions under various scenarios without CFD simulations.
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