Science Needs of Southeastern Grassland Species of Conservation Concern: Species Status Assessment Framework extinctions, and human attitudes and behaviors; (4) invasive species (not limited to nonnative species); and (5) localized or subregional impacts such as sea-level rise. In addition to group discussions, workshop participants-as well as other grassland experts who were unable to attend the workshopcompleted a preworkshop survey concerning challenges and opportunities for grassland conservation. Findings reported here under each of these topics represent ideas, problems, hypotheses, and questions identified by a diverse community of grassland managers and researchers which may be addressed by future research and monitoring in southeastern grassland ecosystems to help guide science-based conservation of grassland-dependent species. Figure 1. Summed range-size rarity of imperiled species from the Map of Biodiversity Importance (NatureServe , 2021). This map was developed from habitat suitability models for 2,216 species ranked as critically imperiled (G1), imperiled (G2), or listed as endangered or threatened under the U.S. Endangered Species Act. Taxa include vertebrates, vascular plants, selected aquatic invertebrates (mussels and crayfish), and selected pollinators (bumblebees, butterflies, and skippers). High values identify areas with greater numbers of imperiled species with restricted ranges. Details on the habitat models used to produce this map are available from NatureServe (2021). HerbivoryLarge herbivores are second only to fire as a dominant factor maintaining large areas of grassland worldwide. Grazing and browsing by a succession of large herbivores during and since the Pleistocene is the most plausible explanation for the persistence of high-elevation grassy balds in the southern Appalachians (Weigl and Knowles, 2014). Elsewhere,
For more information on the USGS-the Federal source for science about the Earth, its natural and living resources, natural hazards, and the environment-visit http://www.usgs.gov/ or call 1-888-ASK-USGS (1-888-275-8747).For an overview of USGS information products, including maps, imagery, and publications, visit http://www.usgs.gov/pubprod/.Any use of trade, firm, or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.Although this information product, for the most part, is in the public domain, it also may contain copyrighted materials as noted in the text. Permission to reproduce copyrighted items must be secured from the copyright owner. Executive SummaryClimate change impacts ecosystems in many ways, from effects on species to phenology to wildfire dynamics. Assessing the potential vulnerability of ecosystems to future changes in climate is an important first step in prioritizing and planning for conservation. Although assessments of climate change vulnerability commonly are done for species, fewer have been done for ecosystems. To aid regional conservation planning efforts, we assessed climate change vulnerability for ecosystems in the Southeastern United States and Caribbean.First, we solicited input from experts to create a list of candidate ecosystems for assessment. From that list, 12 ecosystems were selected for a vulnerability assessment that was based on a synthesis of available geographic information system (GIS) data and literature related to 3 components of vulnerability-sensitivity, exposure, and adaptive capacity. This literature and data synthesis comprised "Phase I" of the assessment. Sensitivity is the degree to which the species or processes in the ecosystem are affected by climate. Exposure is the likely future change in important climate and sea level variables. Adaptive capacity is the degree to which ecosystems can adjust to changing conditions. Where available, GIS data relevant to each of these components were used. For example, we summarized observed and projected climate, protected areas existing in 2011, projected sea-level rise, and projected urbanization across each ecosystem's distribution. These summaries were supplemented with information in the literature, and a short narrative assessment was compiled for each ecosystem. We also summarized all information into a qualitative vulnerability rating for each ecosystem. Next, for 2 of the 12 ecosystems (East Gulf Coastal Plain Near-Coast Pine Flatwoods and Nashville Basin Limestone Glade and Woodland), the NatureServe Habitat Climate Change Vulnerability Index (HCCVI) framework was used as an alternative approach for assessing vulnerability. Use of the HCCVI approach comprised "Phase II" of the assessment. This approach uses summaries of GIS data and models to develop a series of numeric indices for components of vulnerability. We incorporated many of the data sources used in Phase I, but added the results of several other data sources, including climate envelope modeling and vege...
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