Background: Despite many efforts undertaken to control the human immunodeficiency virus epidemic, it remains to be the major global public health challenge. With expanding access to pediatric antiretroviral therapy, children are more likely to experience treatment failure. All previous studies conducted in Ethiopia estimated treatment failure using only clinical and CD4 criteria. Thus, the ART failure rate is expected to be underestimated in our country. Objectives of the Study: To assess the incidence and predictors of treatment failure among children receiving first-line ART in general hospitals of Mekelle and Southern Zones of Tigray region, Ethiopia, 2019. Methods: Retrospective follow up study was employed. The sample size was estimated based on a Log rank test using Stata V-13 and all 404 charts were taken for review. Data were collected by extraction tool; entered using Epi-data manager; cleaned and analyzed by Stata V-14. Data were described using the Kaplan-Meier curve, Log rank test, life table, and crude hazard ratios and analyzed using adjusted hazard ratios and p-value by Cox proportional hazard regression. Any variable at P <0.05 in the bi-variable analysis was taken to multi-variate analysis and significance was declared at P≤ 0.05. Data were presented using tables, charts, and texts. Results: The incidence rate of ART failure was 8.68 (95% CI 7.1 to 10.6) per 1000 person-month observations with a total of 11,061.5 person-month observations. Children who had tuberculosis at baseline [AHR=2.27; 95% CI 1.12-4.57], advanced recent WHO stage [AHR=5.21; 95% CI 2.75-9.88] and sub-optimal ART adherence [AHR=2.84, 95% CI 1.71-4.72] were at higher hazard for first-line treatment failure. Besides this having a long duration of ART follow up [AHR=0.85; 95% CI 0.82-0.87] was found to be protective against treatment failure. Conclusion and Recommendation: The incidence of first-line ART failure was grown as a major public health concern. Treatment failure was predicted by the duration of follow up, advanced recent WHO stage, sub-optimal adherence, as well as the presence of tuberculosis at baseline. Hence, it is better to give priority for strengthening the focused evaluation of the WHO clinical stage and tuberculosis co-infection at baseline with continuous adherence monitoring.
Background: Perinatal asphyxia determines the newborn's future health status and viability with risk factors yet to be completely understood. It measures the status of the healthcare delivery of an organization including antenatal, intranatal, and postnatal care. In Ethiopia, 31.6% of neonatal mortality was attributed to perinatal asphyxia. This study aimed to assess the risk factors of perinatal asphyxia. Methods: An unmatched case-control study was conducted on 213 (71 cases selected using lottery method and 142 controls systematically) subjects in Addis Ababa from November 1, 2018 to June 30, 2019. Data were collected using a structured questionnaire through face-toface interviews, entered to Epi data version 4.4, and exported to SPSS version 25 for analysis. Logistic regression was used for analysis. Variables with p< 0.25 in bivariate analysis were taken to multivariable analysis. Statistical significance was declared at P<0.05 and findings were presented using texts and tables. Results: A total of 210 newborns (70 cases and 140 controls) and their mothers were included with an overall response rate of 98.5%. Antepartum hemorrhage [AOR=7.17; 95% CI 1.73-29.72], low birth weight [AOR=2.87; 95% CI 1.01-8.13], preterm birth [AOR=3.4; 95% CI 1.04-11.16], caesarean section delivery [AOR=2.75; 95% CI 1.01-7.42], instrumental delivery [AOR=4.88; 95% CI 1.35-17.61], fetal distress [AOR=4.77; 95% CI 1.52-14.92] and meconium-stained amniotic fluid [AOR=9.02; 95% CI 2.96-30.24] were significantly associated with perinatal asphyxia. Hence, efforts ought to go to improve the quality of antenatal and intra-natal services.
Background. Relapse in children with nephrotic syndrome leads to a variety of complications due to prolonged treatment and potential dependency on steroids. However, there is no study conducted to determine the incidence and predictive factors of relapse for nephrotic syndrome in Ethiopia, especially in children. Thus, this study aimed to assess the incidence of relapse and its predictors among children with nephrotic syndrome in Ethiopia. Methods. A retrospective study was conducted by reviewing all charts of children with an initial diagnosis of the nephrotic syndrome in tertiary hospitals from 2011 to 2018. Charts of children with a diagnosis of steroid-resistant cases were excluded. The extraction tool was used for data collection, Epi-data manager V-4.4.2 for data entry, and Stata V-14 for cleaning and analysis. Kaplan-Meier curve, log-rank test, life table, and crude hazard ratios were used to describe the data and adjusted hazard ratios with 95% CI and P value for analysis. Median relapse time, incidence rate of relapse, and cumulative relapse probabilities at a certain time interval were computed. Bivariable and multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazard regression to identify the factors associated with relapse. Any variable at P < 0.25 in the bivariable analysis was transferred to multivariate analysis. Then, the adjusted hazard ratio with 95% CI and P ≤ 0.05 was used to report the association and to test the statistical significance, respectively. Finally, texts, tables, and graphs were used to present the results. Results and Conclusion. Majority, 64.5% (40/66), of relapses were recorded in the first 12 months of follow-up. The incidence rate of relapse was 42.6 per 1000 child-month-observations with an overall 1454 child-month-observations and the median relapse time of 16 months. Having undernutrition [ AHR = 3.44 ; 95% CI 1.78-6.65], elevated triglyceride [ AHR = 3.37 ; 95% CI 1.04-10.90], decreased serum albumin level [ AHR = 3.51 ; 95% CI 1.81-6.80], and rural residence [ AHR = 4.00 ; 95% CI 1.49-10.76] increased the hazard of relapse. Conclusion and Recommendation. Relapse was higher in the first year of the follow-up period. Undernutrition, hypoalbuminemia, hypertriglyceridemia, and being from rural areas were independent predictors of relapse. A focused evaluation of those predictors during the initial diagnosis of the disease is compulsory.
BackgroundIt is a global challenge to enrol and retain paediatric patients in HIV/AIDS care. Attrition causes preventable transmission, stoppable morbidity and death, undesirable treatment outcomes, increased cost of care and drug resistance. Thus, this study intended to investigate the incidence and predictors of attrition among children receiving antiretroviral treatment (ART).MethodA retrospective follow-up study was conducted among children <15 years who had ART follow-up in Gedeo public hospitals. After collection, data were entered into Epi-data V.4.6, then exported to and analysed using STATA V.14. Data were described using the Kaplan-Meier statistics, life table and general descriptive statistics. The analysis was computed using the Cox proportional hazard regression model. Covariates having <0.25 p values in the univariate analysis (such as developmental stage, nutritional status, haemoglobin level, adherence, etc) were fitted to multivariable analysis. Finally, statistical significance was declared at a p value of <0.05.ResultsAn overall 254 child charts were analysed. At the end of follow-up, attrition from ART care was 36.2% (92 of 254), of which 70 (76.1%) were lost to follow-up, and 22 (23.9%) children died. About 8145.33 child-months of observations were recorded with an incidence attrition rate of 11.3 per 1000 child-months (95% CI: 9.2 to 13.9), whereas the median survival time was 68.73 months. Decreased haemoglobin level (<10 g/dl) (adjusted HR (AHR)=3.1; 95% CI: 1.4 to 6.9), delayed developmental milestones (AHR=3.6; 95% CI: 1.2 to 10.7), underweight at baseline (AHR=5.9; 95% CI: 1.6 to 21.7), baseline CD4 count ≤200 (AHR=4.4; 95% CI: 1.6 to 12.2), and poor or fair ART adherence (AHR=3.5; 95% CI: 1.5 to 7.9) were significantly associated with attrition.Conclusion and recommendationRetention to ART care is challenging in the paediatrics population, with such a high attrition rate. Immune suppression, anaemia, underweight, delayed developmental milestones and ART non-adherence were independent predictors of attrition to ART care. Hence, it is crucial to detect and control the identified predictors promptly. Serious adherence support and strengthened nutritional provision with monitoring strategies are also essential.
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