Ten years after the mortgage crisis, the U.S. housing market has rebounded significantly with house prices now near the peak achieved during the boom. Homeownership rates, on the other hand, have continued to decline. We reconcile the two phenomena by documenting the rising presence of institutional investors in this market. Our analysis makes use of housing transaction data. By exploiting heterogeneity in zip codes' exposure to the First Look program instituted by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that affected investors' access to foreclosed properties, we establish the causal relationship between the increasing presence of institutions in the housing market and the subsequent recovery in house prices and decline in homeownership rates between 2007 and 2014. We further demonstrate that institutional investors contributed to the improvement in the local labor market by reducing overall unemployment rate and by increasing total employment, construction employment in particular. Local housing rents also rose. * This Philadelphia Fed working paper represents preliminary research that is being circulated for discussion purposes. The views expressed in these papers are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia or the Federal Reserve System. Any errors or omissions are the responsibility of the authors. No statements here should be treated as legal advice. Philadelphia Fed working papers are free to download at https://philadelphiafed.org/research-and-data/publications/working-papers. We thank Chris Cunning
U.S. house prices fell nearly 30% between 2006 and 2012. Meanwhile, homeownership rates declined as mortgage credit supply tightened and investors bought up properties. Although nationally house prices recovered to prebust levels by 2016, homeownership rates declined through mid-2016, as investors, particularly those purchasing through corporations, gained market share. By exploiting heterogeneity in zip codes' exposure to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac programs that affected investors' access to foreclosed properties, we find that increased presence of investors explains a significant fraction of the house price recovery. Investors reduced vacancies and shortened the time foreclosed properties spent in bank ownership.
We study the house price recovery in the U.S. single-family residential housing market since the outbreak of the mortgage crisis, which, in contrast to the preceding housing boom, was not accompanied by a rise in homeownership rates. Using comprehensive property-level transaction data, we show that this phenomenon is largely explained by the emergence of institutional investors. By exploiting heterogeneity in a county's exposure to local lending conditions and to government programs that affected investors' access to residential properties, we estimate that the increasing presence of institutions in the housing market explains over half of the increase in real house price appreciation rates between 2006 and 2014. We further demonstrate that institutional investors contribute to the improvement of the local housing market by reducing vacancy rates as they shorten the amount of time distressed properties stay in REO. Additionally, institutional investors help lower local unemployment rates by increasing local construction employment. However, institutional investors are responsible for most of the declines in the homeownership rates.
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