Objective Between 17% and 40% of patients undergoing elective arthroplasty are preoperative opioid users. This US study analyzed patients in this population to illustrate the relationship between preoperative opioid use and adverse surgical outcomes. Design Retrospective study of administrative medical and pharmaceutical claims data. Subjects Adults (aged 18+) who received elective total knee, hip, or shoulder replacement in 2014–2015. Methods A patient was a preoperative opioid user if opioid prescription fills occurred in two periods: 1–30 and 31–90 days presurgery. Zero-truncated Poisson (incidence rate ratio [IRR]), logistic (odds ratio [OR]), Cox (hazard ratio [HR]), and quantile regressions modeled the effects of preoperative opioid use and opioid dose, adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, and utilization. Results Among 34,792 patients (38% hip, 58% knee, 4% shoulder), 6,043 (17.4%) were preoperative opioid users with a median morphine equivalent daily dose of 32 mg. Preoperative opioid users had increased length of stay (IRR = 1.03, 95% CI = 1.02 to 1.05), nonhome discharge (OR = 1.10, 95% CI = 1.00 to 1.21), and 30-day unplanned readmission (OR = 1.43, 95% CI = 1.17 to 1.74); experienced 35% higher surgical site infection (HR = 1.35, 95% CI = 1.14 to 1.59) and 44% higher surgical revision (HR = 1.44, 95% CI = 1.21 to 1.71); had a median $1,084 (95% CI = $833 to $1334) increase in medical spend during the 365 days after discharge; and had a 64% lower rate of opioid cessation (HR = 0.34, 95% CI = 0.33 to 0.35) compared with patients not filling two or more prescriptions across periods. Conclusions Preoperative opioid users had longer length of stay, increased revision rates, higher spend, and persistent opioid use, which worsened with dose. Adverse outcomes after elective joint replacement may be reduced if preoperative opioid risk is managed through increased monitoring or opioid cessation.

The association of more education and marriage with increased odds of depression may reflect a frustration with limited opportunity for success experienced by some women in rural Mozambique.

BackgroundMalaria is the leading cause of death among children in Mozambique. Prevalence and factors associated with malaria are not well studied among children in rural Zambézia Province. Whether prevalence of malaria varies across diverse districts within the province is unknown.MethodsA cross-sectional survey of female heads of household was conducted during April and May 2014, a period of peak malaria transmission. Data were collected on up to two randomly selected children aged 6–59 months per household. The outcome of interest was self-report of symptomatic malaria confirmed by diagnostic test in the past 30 days. Analyses accounted for the two-stage cluster sample design. Prevalence of symptomatic malaria was calculated for the province and three over-sampled focus districts—Alto Molócuè, Morrumbala, and Namacurra. Multivariable logistic regression of symptomatic malaria diagnosis included: district, age, sex, education, bed net use, urban setting, distance to health facility, income, roofing material, and pig farming.ResultsData were collected on 2540 children. Fifty percent were female, and the median age was 24 months. Sixty percent of children slept under bed nets the night prior to the survey, but utilization varied between districts (range 49–89%; p < 0.001). Forty-three percent of children reported fever in the past 30 days, 91% of those sought care at a health facility, 67% of those had either a malaria rapid diagnostic test or blood smear, and 67% of those had a positive test result and therefore met our case definition of self-reported symptomatic malaria. There were significant differences in prevalence of fever (p < 0.001), health-seeking (p < 0.001), and diagnostic testing (p = 0.003) between focus districts. Province-wide prevalence of symptomatic malaria was 13% and among focus districts ranged from 14% in Morrumbala to 17% in Namacurra (p < 0.001). Higher female caregiver education (OR 1.88; 95% CI 1.31–2.70), having fewer young children in the household (OR 1.25; 95% CI 1.01–1.56), and higher income (OR 1.56; 95% CI 1.11–2.22) were independently associated with having a child with symptomatic malaria.ConclusionsSelf-reported symptomatic malaria is highly prevalent among children in Zambézia Province, Mozambique and varies significantly between diverse districts. Factors facilitating access to health services are associated with symptomatic malaria diagnosis. These findings should inform resource allocation in the fight against malaria in Mozambique.

Introduction Management of tuberculosis (TB) is challenging in HIV/TB co-infected children. The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends nucleic acid amplification tests for TB diagnosis, a four-drug regimen including ethambutol during intensive phase of treatment (IP), and initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) within eight weeks of TB diagnosis. We investigated TB treatment outcomes by diagnostic modality, IP regimen, and ART status. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study among HIV/TB co-infected children enrolled at International Epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS treatment sites from 2012-2014. We modeled TB outcome using multivariable logistic regression including diagnostic modality, IP regimen, and ART status. Results Among 386 HIV-infected children diagnosed with TB, 20% had microbiological confirmation of TB, and 20% had unfavorable TB outcomes. During IP, 78% were treated with a four-drug regimen. Thirty-one percent were receiving ART at the time of TB diagnosis, and 32% were started on ART within eight weeks of TB diagnosis. Incidence of ART initiation within eight weeks of TB diagnosis was higher for those with favorable TB outcomes (64%) compared to those with unfavorable outcomes (40%) (p=0.04). Neither diagnostic modality (OR 1.77; 95%CI 0.86-3.65) nor IP regimen (OR 0.88; 95%CI 0.43-1.80) were associated with TB outcome. Discussion In this multinational study of HIV/TB co-infected children, many were not managed per WHO guidelines. Children with favorable TB outcomes initiated ART sooner than children with unfavorable outcomes. These findings highlight the importance of early ART for children with HIV/TB co-infection, and reinforce the need for implementation research to improve pediatric TB management.

BackgroundIn 2011, 64% of children in Mozambique, ages 12–23 months, were fully immunized. Large provincial differences in vaccine uptake exist.MethodsWe conducted a survey of 1650 females with children aged 12–23 months in the districts of Gurùé and Milange. Implementation occurred from November to December 2014. Descriptive statistics and logistic regression using R-software 3.0.2 were used to examine factors associated with full vaccination status. ArcGIS version 10.3.1 (ESRI, Redlands, CA, USA) was used to map spatial patterns of vaccine uptake.ResultsFull vaccination was roughly 48%. Identifying ‘hospital’ as a location to get vaccinated was associated with having a fully vaccinated child (OR=1.87, 95% CI=1.02, 3.41, p=0.043). Households where health decisions are made solely by the male or the female had 38% (95% CI=0.32, 1.21) and 55% (95% CI=0.29, 0.69) lower odds, respectively, of their child being fully immunized. For every 10 km increase from the nearest health facility there was a 36% lower odds of the child being fully immunized (OR=0.64, 95% CI=0.44, 0.93, p<0.001).ConclusionZambézia Province, as a whole and the districts of Gurùé and Milange specifically, is falling short of vaccination targets. Intensified efforts focused on the least educated, most distant and which take a more family-centered approach are needed to improve vaccine uptake.

Receptive anal intercourse, multiple partners, condomless sex, sexually transmitted infections (STIs), and drug/alcohol addiction are familiar factors that correlate with increased human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) risk among men who have sex with men (MSM). To improve estimation to HIV acquisition, we created a composite score using questions from routine survey of 3588 MSM in Beijing, China. The HIV prevalence was 13.4%. A risk scoring tool using penalized maximum likelihood multivariable logistic regression modeling was developed, deploying backward step-down variable selection to obtain a reduced-form model. The full penalized model included 19 sexual predictors, while the reduced-form model had 12 predictors. Both models calibrated well; bootstrap-corrected c-indices were 0.70 (full model) and 0.71 (reduced-form model). Non-Beijing residence, short-term living in Beijing, illegal drug use, multiple male sexual partners, receptive anal sex, inconsistent condom use, alcohol consumption before sex, and syphilis infection were the strongest predictors of HIV infection. Discriminating higher-risk MSM for targeted HIV prevention programming using a validated risk score could improve the efficiency of resource deployment for educational and risk reduction programs. A valid risk score can also identify higher risk persons into prevention and vaccine clinical trials, which would improve trial cost-efficiency.

Reproducible research is important for assessing the integrity of findings and disseminating methods, but it requires making original study data sets publicly available. This requirement is difficult to meet in settings with sensitive data, which can mean that resulting studies are not reproducible. For studies in which data cannot be shared, we propose a pragmatic approach to make research quasi-reproducible. On a publicly available website without restriction, researchers should post 1) analysis code used in the published study, 2) simulated data, and 3) results obtained by applying the analysis code used in the published study to the simulated data. Although it is not a perfect solution, such an approach makes analyses transparent for critical evaluation and dissemination and is therefore a significant improvement over current practice.

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