Alternative management strategies with no cows and all heifers may improve biological and economic efficiency of beef production. The All Heifer, No Cow (AHNC) beef production system involves insemination of nulliparous heifers with female sex-selected semen (FSS) to produce primarily female calves that are early weaned at 3 mo of age. Dams are finished on a high concentrate diet and harvested before 30 mo of age. The objectives of this research were to: 1) build a dynamic model of an AHNC beef production system to quantify system biological and economic efficiency; 2) compare effects of utilizing FSS vs. conventional semen on biological and economic efficiency; 3) evaluate what-if scenarios to determine the effects on biological and economic efficiency of changing variables ±5%, 10%, 15%, and 20% from initial observed values; and 4) evaluate the effects on biological and economic efficiency of changing variables ±10% from initial observed values. A model was built over a 21-yr horizon using Stella Architect. Biological parameter values in the model were based on the 6 yr of data collected from the management of an AHNC demonstration herd. In the model animal, total digestible nutrients (TDN) intake, hot carcass weight (HCW), and age at harvest were randomized. Feed, animal, and carcass prices included in the model were based on 10 yr of historical U.S. price data. Key response variables were biological and economic efficiency (mean ± SD). Biological efficiency was defined as the ratio of output (kilograms of HCW produced) to input (lifetime kilograms of feed TDN consumed), and economic efficiency was measured using a benefit–cost ratio (BCR) and unit variable cost (UVC). Over 40 simulation runs, the predicted mean biological efficiency was 0.0714 ± 0.0008. Economic efficiency was 0.95 ± 0.02 and US $445.41 ± 0.06 for BCR and UVC, respectively. Biological and economic efficiency was improved in the conventional semen scenario; biological efficiency was 0.0738 ± 0.0008, and BCR and UVC were 0.99 ± 0.04 and US $407.24 ± 0.006, respectively. Under this parameterization and market conditions, the AHNC beef production system failed to achieve profitability under any scenario that was evaluated. However, this review did not account for the potential increased genetic benefit from a decreased generation interval and the reduction in feed energy in comparison to a conventional cow/calf system.
The Davis Growth Model is a dynamic model used to estimate body composition and growth in beef cattle by simulating total body DNA and protein turnover. Since model development and parametrization in the 1980s, the model has been re-structured to account for previous rate of protein accretion and prior nutrition. Original parameter estimates for alpha (maintenance constant, where net energy for maintenance is alpha x shrunk body weight0.75; 0.08406) and K2 (protein synthesis rate constant; 0.0444) may not fit modern, heavier, more productive cattle. Angus-cross steers (n = 24; initial body weight 402 ± 12 kg) were fed using automated feed weight stations in group pens (8 steers/pen). Steers were fed a high energy ration twice daily, at 10% greater than the intake from the previous day. Steers were measured for hip height, body weight (BW), and ultrasonic measurements for ribeye area and back fat every 28 d until harvest (d 128). These measurements were used to calculate empty BW, empty body fat, and empty percent body fat for alpha and K2 estimates. Parameter estimates (± SD) were 0.12661 (0.01587) and 0.04919 (0.00220) for alpha and K2, respectively. Parameter estimates in the current study reflect a large increase in apparent maintenance. Maintenance requirements were moderately correlated with back fat thickness and feed conversion efficiency. Protein turnover had very strong correlations with ribeye area and feed conversion efficiency. Average feed conversion efficiency in the current study was 0.17. To evaluate parameter estimates, the model was re-run using the new values for alpha and K2. On average, the model underpredicted final empty body weight by 0.08 kg and empty body fat percent by 0.01%-units. Considering the relatively large variation among observed alpha values and the magnitude of increase compared with those previously reported, further research is required to determine an accurate alpha.
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