Background: The burden of stroke is high in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), but few data are available on its long-term mortality. Objective: To estimate over one-month stroke case-fatality in sub-Saharan Africa Methods: Systematic review and meta-analysis was performed according to Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines (PROSPERO protocol: CRD42020192439), on five electronic databases (PubMed, Science direct, AJOL, EMBASE and Web of Sciences). We searched all studies on stroke mortality case-fatality over one-month in SSA published between 1st January 2000 and 31 December 2019. Results: We included 91 studies with 34,362 stroke cases. The one-month pooled stroke case-fatality rate was 24.1% [95%CI: 21.5-27.0] and 33.2% [95%CI: 23.6-44.5] at 1-year. At 3 and 5-years the case-fatality rates were respectively 40.1% [95% CI: 20.8-63.0] and 39.4% [95%CI: 14.3-71.5] with high heterogeneity. Hemorrhagic stroke was associated with a higher risk of mortality at one month, but ischemic stroke increased the risk of mortality over 6 months. Diabetes was associated with poor prognosis at 6 and 12 months with odds ratios of 1.64 [95% CI: 1.22-2.20] and 1.85 [1.25-2.75] respectively. Conclusion: The stroke case-fatality over one-month was very high compared to other reported in Western countries and can be explained by the weak healthcare systems and vascular risk factors despite the high heterogeneity in this review.
ObjectiveWe describe and compare the sociodemographic and clinical features, treatments, and prognoses and survival times of patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) in Africa.MethodologyWe conducted a multicentre, hospital-based cohort study in Africa. Patients with ALS diagnosed in the neurology departments of participating hospitals from 2005 to 2017 were included. Subgroup analysis was performed by subcontinent. Survival analyses were conducted using the Cox proportional hazards model.ResultsNine centres from eight African countries participated. A total of 185 patients with ALS were included: 114 from Northern Africa, 41 from Western Africa and 30 from Southern Africa. A male predominance (male to female ratio 2.9) was evident. The median age at onset was 53.0 years (IQR 44.5–64.0 years). The onset was bulbar in 22.7%. Only 47 patients (26.3%) received riluzole, mainly in Northern and Western Africa. The median survival from the time of diagnosis was 14.0 months (95% CI 10.7 to 17.2 months). The median survival was longer in Northern Africa (19.0 months, 95% CI 10.8 to 27.2 months) than in Western (4.0 months, 95% CI 0.8 to 7.1 months) and Southern (11.0 months, 95% CI 5.6 to 16.4 months) Africa (Breslow test, p<0.0001). Both subcontinental location and riluzole treatment independently affected survival.ConclusionMore African patients with ALS were male and younger and exhibited a lower proportion of bulbar onset compared with patients with ALS from Western nations. Survival was consistent with that in Western registers but far shorter than what would be expected for young patients with ALS. The research improves our understanding of the disease in Africa.
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