Acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) is treated with systemic corticosteroid immunosuppression. Clinical response after 1 week of therapy often guides further treatment decisions, but long-term outcomes vary widely among centers, and more accurate predictive tests are urgently needed. We analyzed clinical data and blood samples taken 1 week after systemic treatment of GVHD from 507 patients from 17 centers of the Mount Sinai Acute GVHD International Consortium (MAGIC), dividing them into a test cohort (n = 236) and 2 validation cohorts separated in time (n = 142 and n = 129). Initial response to systemic steroids correlated with response at 4 weeks, 1-year nonrelapse mortality (NRM), and overall survival (OS). A previously validated algorithm of 2 MAGIC biomarkers (ST2 and REG3α) consistently separated steroid-resistant patients into 2 groups with dramatically different NRM and OS ( < .001 for all 3 cohorts). High biomarker probability, resistance to steroids, and GVHD severity (Minnesota risk) were all significant predictors of NRM in multivariate analysis. A direct comparison of receiver operating characteristic curves showed that the area under the curve for biomarker probability (0.82) was significantly greater than that for steroid response (0.68, = .004) and for Minnesota risk (0.72, = .005). In conclusion, MAGIC biomarker probabilities generated after 1 week of systemic treatment of GVHD predict long-term outcomes in steroid-resistant GVHD better than clinical criteria and should prove useful in developing better treatment strategies.
In the statistics section, the equation to generate a final prediction model from the training set was incorrect. The correct sentence is below. We then created a training set at random and repeated the entire process to generate a final model: log[-log(1-p̂)] =-11.263 + 1.844(log10ST2) + 0.577(log10REG3α), where p̂ = predicted probability of 6-month NRM.
No laboratory test can predict the risk of nonrelapse mortality (NRM) or severe graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) after hematopoietic cellular transplantation (HCT) prior to the onset of GVHD symptoms. Patient blood samples on day 7 after HCT were obtained from a multicenter set of 1,287 patients, and 620 samples were assigned to a training set. We measured the concentrations of 4 GVHD biomarkers (ST2, REG3α, TNFR1, and IL-2Rα) and used them to model 6-month NRM using rigorous cross-validation strategies to identify the best algorithm that defined 2 distinct risk groups. We then applied the final algorithm in an independent test set ( = 309) and validation set ( = 358). A 2-biomarker model using ST2 and REG3α concentrations identified patients with a cumulative incidence of 6-month NRM of 28% in the high-risk group and 7% in the low-risk group ( < 0.001). The algorithm performed equally well in the test set (33% vs. 7%, < 0.001) and the multicenter validation set (26% vs. 10%, < 0.001). Sixteen percent, 17%, and 20% of patients were at high risk in the training, test, and validation sets, respectively. GVHD-related mortality was greater in high-risk patients (18% vs. 4%, < 0.001), as was severe gastrointestinal GVHD (17% vs. 8%, < 0.001). The same algorithm can be successfully adapted to define 3 distinct risk groups at GVHD onset. A biomarker algorithm based on a blood sample taken 7 days after HCT can consistently identify a group of patients at high risk for lethal GVHD and NRM. The National Cancer Institute, American Cancer Society, and the Doris Duke Charitable Foundation.
The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of a combined weights and plyometrics program on golf drive performance. Eleven male golfers' full golf swing was analyzed for club head speed (CS) and driving distance (DD) before and after an 8-week training program. The control group (n = 5) continued their normal training, while the experimental group (n = 6) performed 2 sessions per week of weight training and plyometrics. Controls showed no significant (p > or = 0.05) changes, while experimental subjects showed a significant increase (p < or = 0.05) in CS and DD. The changes in golf drive performance were attributed to an increase in muscular force and an improvement in the sequential acceleration of body parts contributing to a greater final velocity being applied to the ball. It was concluded that specific combined weights and plyometrics training can help increase CS and DD in club golfers.
Key Points The MAGIC algorithm probability, computed from 2 serum biomarkers, predicts mortality in all GVHD grades after 4 weeks of treatment. Dynamic changes in the MAGIC algorithm probability occur within all biomarker risk groups and can guide therapy.
Background: Orthopaedic surgeons have a responsibility to develop responsible opioid practices. Growing evidence has helped define an optimal number of opioids to prescribe after surgical procedures, but little evidence-based guidance exists to support specific practice patterns to decrease opioid utilization. Hypothesis: After knee arthroscopic surgery with partial meniscectomy, patients who were provided a prescription for opioids and instructed to only fill the prescription if absolutely necessary for pain control would take fewer opioids than patients with opioids automatically included as part of a multimodal approach to pain control prescribed at discharge. Study Design: Randomized controlled trial; Level of evidence, 2. Methods: Patients undergoing arthroscopic partial meniscectomy were provided multimodal pain control with aspirin, acetaminophen, and naproxen and randomized to receive oxycodone as either included with their multimodal pain medications (group 1) or given an optional prescription to fill (group 2). Patients were contacted at time points up to 1 month after surgery to assess opioid utilization and medication side effects. The mean number of tablets utilized was the primary outcome measure, with a 50% reduction defined as a successful outcome. Results: A total of 105 patients were initially enrolled, and 95 (91%; 48 in group 1 and 47 in group 2) successfully completed the study. There was no significant reduction in the number of tablets utilized between groups 1 and 2 (3.5 vs 4.5, respectively; P = .45), days that opioids were required (2.2 vs 3.2, respectively; P = .20), or postoperative pain at any time point. The group with the option to fill their prescription had significantly fewer unused tablets remaining than the group with opioids included as part of the multimodal pain control regimen (75% of potentially prescribed tablets vs 82% of prescribed tablets; P < .001). Overall, 37% of patients did not require any opioids after surgery, and 86% used ≤8 tablets. Conclusion: Patients required a minimal number of opioids after knee arthroscopic surgery with partial meniscectomy. There was no difference in the number of tablets utilized whether the opioid prescription was included in a multimodal pain control regimen or patients were given an option to fill the prescription. Offering optional opioid prescriptions in the setting of a multimodal approach to pain control can significantly reduce the number of unused opioids circulating in the community. Registration: NCT03876743 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier)
Purpose Hip arthroscopy is known to be safe with low rates of postoperative complications. The purpose of this study is to evaluate hip arthroscopy cases in a national surgical database to identify risk factors associated with readmission. Methods The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was queried from 2012 to 2016 for current procedural terminology billing codes related to hip arthroscopy. International Classification of Diseases diagnostic codes were used to exclude cases involving infection, fracture, or open procedures. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify risk factors associated with 30‐day readmission. Results 1493 patients were identified who had undergone hip arthroscopy. The most common procedures were labral resection or chondroplasty (n = 589, 39.5%) and femoroplasty (n = 527, 35.3%). The 30‐day complication rate was 1.7% and the most common complications following the procedure were bleeding (n = 12, 0.8%) superficial infections (n = 5, 0.3%), and returning to the operating room (n = 4, 0.3%). The 30‐day readmission rate was 1.3%. On multivariate analysis, hypertension requiring anti‐hypertensive medication (odds ratio [OR], 3.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4–8.7) and chronic corticosteroid or immunosuppressant use (OR 7.2; 95% CI 1.9–26.7) were identified as independent risk factors for readmission. There was no difference in complication rates when hip arthroscopy was performed with isolated femoroplasty (n = 340), isolated acetabuloplasty (n = 103), both (n = 187) or neither (n = 863). Conclusion These findings confirm that the 30‐day readmission (1.3%) and complication rate (1.7%) are low for isolated hip arthroscopy procedures; however, hypertension and chronic steroid use are independent risk factors for readmission. Level of evidence Retrospective comparative study, Level III.
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