While it has long been recognized that patients with acute unprovoked deep vein thrombosis (DVT) or pulmonary embolism (PE) have a higher risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) than that of patients with secondary thrombosis, whether other clinical parameters can help predict the development of recurrent events is controversial. The aim of this investigation was to assess the rate of recurrent VTE after withdrawal of vitamin K antagonists, and to identify clinical parameters associated with a higher likelihood of recurrence. Design and MethodsWe followed, up to a maximum of 10 years, 1626 consecutive patients who had discontinued anticoagulation after a first episode of clinically symptomatic proximal DVT and/or PE. All patients with clinically suspected recurrent VTE underwent objective tests to confirm or rule out the clinical suspicion. ResultsAfter a median follow-up of 50 months, 373 patients (22.9%) had had recurrent episodes of VTE. The cumulative incidence of recurrent VTE was 11.0% (95% CI, 9.5-12.5) after 1 year, 19.6% (17.5-21.7) after 3 years, 29.1% (26.3-31.9) after 5 years, and 39.9% (35.4-44.4) after 10 years. The adjusted hazard ratio for recurrent VTE was 2.30 (95% CI, 1.82-2.90) in patients whose first VTE was unprovoked, 2.02 (1.52-2.69) in those with thrombophilia, 1.44 (1.03-2.03) in those presenting with primary DVT, 1.39 (1.08-1.80) for patients who received a shorter (up to 6 months) duration of anticoagulation, and 1.14 (1.06-1.12) for every 10-year increase of age. When the analysis was confined to patients with unprovoked VTE the results did not change. Interpretation and ConclusionsBesides unprovoked presentation, other factors independently associated with a statistically significant increased risk of recurrent VTE are thrombophilia, clinical presentation with primary DVT, shorter duration of anticoagulation, and increasing age. 1-6 While it is generally accepted that patients with thromboembolic events of unknown origin have a more than two-fold higher rate of recurrent VTE in comparison to patients whose thrombosis is associated with acquired, transient risk factors, 1-6 whether other of the patients' baseline features can help to identify those subjects who might benefit from prolonged anticoagulation is unclear. For example, it is virtually unknown whether aging, an important risk factor for VTE, 4 is also associated with an increased risk of recurrence. The role of thrombophilic abnormalities, especially those that are highly prevalent in western countries (i.e., factor V Leiden and prothrombin G20210A mutation), is controversial.5-14 Although recent data suggest that clinical presentation with primary PE 15 and male sex 16-18 increase the risk of recurrent VTE, these findings still await confirmation. Finally, whether the duration of anticoagulation following the initial thrombotic episode has any influence on the subsequent rate of recurrent VTE is uncertain. 2,19-22Here we report on the prospective long-term followup of a large series of patients with proximal DVT and...

Summary. Background: Recently, we reported an association between asymptomatic carotid atherosclerosis and venous thromboembolism (VTE) of unknown origin. We hypothesized that patients with VTE of unknown origin would be at a higher risk of developing symptomatic atherosclerosis than patients with VTE induced by known risk factors. Methods: To examine this hypothesis, we studied 1919 consecutive patients followed prospectively after their first VTE episode. The primary outcome was non-fatal and fatal symptomatic atherosclerotic disease in patients with VTE of unknown origin as compared to those with secondary VTE. An independent committee assessed all study outcomes, and adjusted hazard ratios (HR) were calculated using the Cox's proportional hazards model. Results:After a median follow-up of 48 and 51 months, respectively, at least one symptomatic atherosclerotic complication was detected in 160 of the 1063 patients (15.1%) with VTE of unknown origin, and in 73 of the 856 (8.5%) with secondary VTE. After adjusting for age and other risk factors of atherosclerosis, the HR for symptomatic atherosclerotic complications in patients with VTE of unknown origin compared to those with secondary VTE was 1.6 (95% confidence intervals; CI: 1.2-2.0). When the analysis was restricted to patients without previous symptomatic atherosclerosis, the HR became 1.7 (95% CI: 1.1-2.4). Conclusions: Patients with VTE of unknown origin have a 60% higher risk of developing symptomatic atherosclerotic disease than do patients with secondary venous thrombosis.

Exogenous glucagon-like peptide 1(GLP-1) bioactivity is preserved in type 2 diabetic patients, resulting the peptide administration in a near-normalization of plasma glucose mainly through its insulinotropic effect. GLP-1 also reduces meal-related insulin requirement in type 1 diabetic patients, suggesting an impairment of the entero-insular axis in both diabetic conditions. To investigate this metabolic dysfunction, we evaluated endogenous GLP-1 concentrations, both at fasting and in response to nutrient ingestion, in 16 type 1 diabetic patients (age = 40.5 +/- 14yr, HbA1C = 7.8 +/- 1.5%), 14 type 2 diabetics (age = 56.5 +/- 13yr, HbA1C = 8.1 +/- 1.8%), and 10 matched controls. In postabsorptive state, a mixed breakfast (230 KCal) was administered to all subjects and blood samples were collected for plasma glucose, insulin, C-peptide and GLP-1 determination during the following 3 hours. In normal subjects, the test meal induced a significant increase of GLP-1 (30', 60': p < 0.01), returning the peptide values towards basal concentrations. In type 2 diabetic patients, fasting plasma GLP-1 was similar to controls (102.1 +/- 1.9 vs. 97.3 +/- 4.01 pg/ml), but nutrient ingestion failed to increase plasma peptide levels, which even decreased during the test (p < 0.01). Similarly, no increase in postprandial GLP-1 occurred in type 1 diabetics, in spite of maintained basal peptide secretion (106.5 +/- 1.5 pg/ml). With respect to controls, the test meal induced in both diabetic groups a significant increase in plasma glucagon levels at 60' (p < 0.01). In conclusion, either in condition of insulin resistance or insulin deficiency chronic hyperglycemia, which is a common feature of both metabolic disorders, could induce a progressive desensitization of intestinal L-cells with consequent peptide failure response to specific stimulation.

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