Background: The accuracy of the GRACE and TIMI scores in predicting coronary disease extension in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes (ACS) has not been established.
The idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy (IDMC) is a disease of the cardiac muscle characterized by systolic dilation and/or dysfunction of one or both ventricles, symptoms of congestive heart failure and risk of early death. Several studies in animal models and in humans have supported the hypothesis of the viral infection as initial event in the immunopathogenesis of the ventricular dilation. The objective of this study was to correlate the presence of hepatitis C virus chronic infection and idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy, comparing samples of cases with IDCM with paired controls with Chagas-type specific dilated cardiomyopathy and ischemic-type specific dilated cardiomyopathy. Only 2.9% (1/34) of IDCM patients were HCV carriers, which strongly argue against this hypothesis. Therefore, based on our results, there is no justification for investigating HCV in patients with idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy diagnosis.
Background: Recurrent ischemic events are mediated by atherosclerotic plaque instability, whereas death after an ischemic event results from gravity of insult and ability of the organism to adapt. The distinct nature of those types of events may respond for different prediction properties of clinical and anatomical information regarding type of outcome. Objective: To identify prognostic properties of clinical and anatomical data in respect of fatal and non-fatal outcomes of patients hospitalized with acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Methods: Patients consecutively admitted with ACS who underwent coronary angiography were recruited. The SYNTAX score was utilized as an anatomic model and the GRACE score as a clinical model. The predictive capacity of those scores was separately evaluated for prediction of non-fatal ischemic outcomes (infarction and refractory angina) and cardiovascular death during hospitalization. It was considered as significant a p-value <0,05. Results: EAmong 365 people, cardiovascular death was observed in 4,4% and incidence of non-fatal ischemic outcomes in 11%. For cardiovascular death, SYNTAX and GRACE score presented similar C-statistic of 0,80 (95% IC: 0,70-0,92) and 0,89 (95% IC 0,81-0,96), respectively-p = 0,19. As for non-fatal ischemic outcomes, the SYNTAX score presented a moderate predictive value (C-statistic = 0,64; 95%IC 0,55-0,73), whereas the GRACE score did not presented association with this type of outcome (C-statistic = 0,50; 95%IC 0,40-0,61)-p = 0,027. Conclusion: Clinical and anatomic models similarly predict cardiovascular death in ACS. However, recurrence of coronary instability is better predicted by anatomic variables than clinical data. (Arq Bras Cardiol. 2020; [online].ahead print, PP.0-0
BackgroundWhen performing coronary angiography in patients with acute coronary syndrome
(ACS), the anatomical extent of coronary disease usually prevails in the
prognostic reasoning. It has not yet been proven if clinical data should be
accounted for in risk stratification together with anatomical data.ObjectiveTo test the hypothesis that clinical data increment the prognostic value of
anatomical data in patients with ACS.MethodsPatients admitted with objective criteria for ACS and who underwent
angiography during hospitalization were included. Primary outcome was
defined as in-hospital cardiovascular death, and the prognostic value of the
SYNTAX Score (anatomical data) was compared to that of the SYNTAX-GRACE
Score, which resulted from the incorporation of the GRACE Score into the
SYNTAX score. The Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) was calculated
to evaluate the SYNTAX-GRACE Score ability to correctly reclassify
information from the traditional SYNTAX model.ResultsThis study assessed 365 patients (mean age, 64 ± 14 years; 58% male).
In-hospital cardiovascular mortality was 4.4%, and the SYNTAX Score was a
predictor of that outcome with a C-statistic of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.70 - 0.92; p
< 0.001). The GRACE Score was a predictor of in-hospital cardiac death
independently of the SYNTAX Score (p < 0.001, logistic regression). After
incorporation into the predictive model, the GRACE Score increased the
discrimination capacity of the SYNTAX Score from 0.81 to 0.92 (95% CI: 0.87
- 0.96; p = 0.04).ConclusionIn patients with ACS, clinical data complement the prognostic value of
coronary anatomy. Risk stratification should be based on the
clinical-anatomical paradigm, rather than on angiographic data only.
Background: Hemorrhagic events in Acute Coronary Syndromes (ACS) have been independently associated with death in international multicenter registries. However, that association has not been tested in Brazil and the true causal relationship between bleeding and death has not been completely shown.
IntroductionCoronary anatomy is one of the strongest risk predictors in Acute Coronary Syndromes (ACS), which justifies early coronary angiography. Diagnostic scores for predicting outcomes are usually superior to clinical judgment. Despite being validated for prognosis, the GRACE score has been used to discriminate patients with high or low probability of anatomical severity.ObjectiveTo test the hypothesis that the GRACE score actually predicts anatomical severity.MethodsThe study was carried out by assessing consecutive patients with ACS who underwent invasive angiography. Severe anatomical disease was defined as obstructive involvement (≥ 70% in diameter) in (1) left main coronary artery or (2) double or triple vessel disease involving proximal left anterior descending artery or (3) subocclusion. The GRACE score was evaluated under numerical and dichotomous tests.ResultsA total of 733 patients were evaluated, aged 63 ± 14 years, 61% male and GRACE score of 119 ± 37. Obstructive coronary disease was observed in 81% of the patients, classified as one, two or three vessel disease, or left main coronary artery involvement in 28%, 23%, 26% and 4%, respectively. The area under the ROC curve of the GRACE score was 0.65 (95% CI = 0.61 - 0.69) for predicting severe disease. The cutoff point below which the first GRACE tertile is defined (109) was used to dichotomize low-risk (N = 318) and medium-high-risk (N = 415) samples. This standard definition of intermediate-high risk by the GRACE score (> 109) revealed sensitivity of 67% in detecting severe anatomy (95% CI = 61% - 72%) and specificity of 50% (95% CI = 46% - 55%), resulting in positive likelihood ratio of 1.3 (95% CI = 1.2 - 1.5) and negative likelihood ratio of 0.66 (95% CI = 0.55 - 0.80). There was a weak correlation between GRACE and anatomical scores such as SYNTAX (r = 0.36, P < 0.001) and Gensini (r = 0.36, P < 0.001).ConclusionDespite statistical association with extent of anatomical coronary disease, the GRACE Score is not accurate to predict severity of disease before coronary angiography.
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