Established rules-of-thumb and industry guidelines for estimating the supply of parking at airports are based on uncertain quantities such as design year enplanements and number of airport employees, and are independent of cost. In the presence of continued uncertainty and increasing competition for limited space in and around airports, it is important that facilities are sized in relation to cost of providing and using them. A probabilistic model based on the classical "newsboy" problem is proposed to determine the optimal supply of parking in relation to expected total cost while treating demand as a random quantity. Empirical data are used to demonstrate the application of the proposed model for decision making. In addition to construction and maintenance costs, and user costs, decisions are shown to be sensitive to the level of uncertainty of design year enplanements.Massoud Javid is at the
Pedestrian facility size is currently determined in direct relationship to the design level of service. However, the design level of service is chosen arbitrarily from the six levels of service, which are assumed to represent the freedom available for movement at different levels of pedestrian flow. This direct and simple approach to facility sizing is shown to have two fundamental deficiencies that contribute to wasteful over capacity. In this article, a cost-based approach is introduced to overcome the deficiencies. Two analytical models, one for determining optimal design density and another for determining optimal design flow, are presented. The optimum design parameters minimize the total cost of the facility defined as the sum of construction cost and user cost. The sensitivity of the optimum parameters to the cost and pedestrian flow parameters is demonstrated using a numerical example.
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