We design and test the hypothesis that for energy firms' oil market activities impact capital structure. Using a unique sample of 726 energy firms from 56 countries, we find that oil market activities do influence capital structure. The speed of adjustment (SOA) to leverage when not exposed to oil market activities is between 27.5 and 66.4%. When exposed to oil price growth (market liquidity) the corresponding SOA is between 51.1 and 72.4% (40.9–76.1%). We conclude that oil price growth slows down while market liquidity improves SOA to leverage for energy firms. By comparison, using a sample of over 32,000 non-energy firms from 108 countries, we find no evidence that oil market activities dictate capital structure.
In this paper, I empirically study the amplitudes and durations of housing cycles in selected emerging countries. Using the Harding and Pagan (2002) approach, I identify peaks and troughs of house prices for 10 countries. I find that, on average, housing expansions last longer and have greater amplitudes than housing contractions. I, then, estimate a discrete time survival model of housing expansions and contractions. I show that both contractions and expansions have positive duration dependence. I find that inflation and economic growth are useful predictors for the end of periods of expansions and contractions.
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