Because of the availability of an abundance of RNA sequence information, the ability to rapidly and accurately predict the secondary structure of RNA from sequence is becoming increasingly important. A common method for predicting RNA secondary structure from sequence is free energy minimization. Therefore, accurate free energy contributions for every RNA secondary structure motif are necessary for accurate secondary structure predictions. Tandem mismatches are prevalent in naturally occurring sequences and are biologically important. A common method for predicting the stability of a sequence asymmetric tandem mismatch relies on the stabilities of the two corresponding sequence symmetric tandem mismatches [Mathews, D. H., Sabina, J., Zuker, M., and Turner, D. H. (1999) J. Mol. Biol. 288, 911-940]. To improve the prediction of sequence asymmetric tandem mismatches, the experimental thermodynamic parameters for the 22 previously unmeasured sequence symmetric tandem mismatches are reported. These new data, however, do not improve prediction of the free energy contributions of sequence asymmetric tandem mismatches. Therefore, a new model, independent of sequence symmetric tandem mismatch free energies, is proposed. This model consists of two penalties to account for destabilizing tandem mismatches, two bonuses to account for stabilizing tandem mismatches, and two penalties to account for A-U and G-U adjacent base pairs. This model improves the prediction of asymmetric tandem mismatch free energy contributions and is likely to improve the prediction of RNA secondary structure from sequence.

Although all sequence symmetric tandem mismatches and some sequence asymmetric tandem mismatches have been thermodynamically characterized and a model has been proposed to predict the stability of previously unmeasured sequence asymmetric tandem mismatches [Christiansen,M.E. and Znosko,B.M. (2008) Biochemistry, 47, 4329–4336], experimental thermodynamic data for frequently occurring tandem mismatches is lacking. Since experimental data is preferred over a predictive model, the thermodynamic parameters for 25 frequently occurring tandem mismatches were determined. These new experimental values, on average, are 1.0 kcal/mol different from the values predicted for these mismatches using the previous model. The data for the sequence asymmetric tandem mismatches reported here were then combined with the data for 72 sequence asymmetric tandem mismatches that were published previously, and the parameters used to predict the thermodynamics of previously unmeasured sequence asymmetric tandem mismatches were updated. The average absolute difference between the measured values and the values predicted using these updated parameters is 0.5 kcal/mol. This updated model improves the prediction for tandem mismatches that were predicted rather poorly by the previous model. This new experimental data and updated predictive model allow for more accurate calculations of the free energy of RNA duplexes containing tandem mismatches, and, furthermore, should allow for improved prediction of secondary structure from sequence.