The required minimum separation distance between aircraft is believed to be one of the limiting factors on airspace capacity. In recent decades, aircraft separation rules have been modified by progressively shortening the required minimum separation distance. Following this trend in the coming years, a further reduction in the minimum separation distance would be expected. Still, a thorough assessment of the impact of this action on air traffic management performance should be carried out before investing in a reduction of separation minima. A Monte Carlo analysis of the en-route Spanish airspace shows that it is worth reducing the en-route minimum separation distance from 5 NM to 3 NM. This paper shows that a separation minima reduction will bring significant fuel savings, flight delay reduction, air traffic controller workload drop, and overall improvement of safety.
A Mid-Air Collision (MAC) is a fatal event with tragic consequences. To reduce the risk of a MAC, it is imperative to understand the precursors that trigger it. A primary precursor to a MAC is a loss of separation (LOS) or a separation infringement. This study develops a model to identify the factors contributing to a LOS between aircraft pairs. A Bayesian Network (BN) model is used to estimate the conditional dependencies of the factors affecting criticality, that is, how close the LOS has come to becoming a collision. This probabilistic model is built using GeNIe software from data (based on a database created from incident analysis) and expert judgment. The results of the model allow identification of how factors related to the scenario, the human factor (ATC and flight crew) or the technical systems, affect the criticality of the LOS. Based on this information, it is possible to exclude irrelevant elements that do not contribute or whose influence could be neglected, and to prioritize work on the most important ones, in order to increase ATM safety.
In performance-based navigation (PBN) procedures with barometric vertical guidance, the effective vertical path angle (VPA) depends on the actual air temperature at the time of approach execution. A very low design temperature could result in an obstacle clearance height (OCH) higher than needed; hence, the airport throughput could be reduced when the cloud ceiling is below the OCH. Conversely, the design of a low temperature higher than is practical could lead to long periods in which the procedure cannot be used. The results of this research show that there is not much difference between the effective VPA for the different low temperatures studied. However, this slight difference, when obstacles penetrating the final approach surface (FAS) exist, usually leads to the approach minima being significantly different from each other. The objective of this study was to analyse the impact of the selected designed low temperatures in PBN procedures with barometric vertical guidance on the OCH/runway throughput and approach periods of use balance. Finally, guidelines on the selection of the minimum designed low temperature are proposed.
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