Purpose: The paper aims to present the results of the studies on the impact associated with the membership of the Three Seas Initiative (3SI) countries in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on their economic security, especially in financial terms. Design/Methodology/Approach: The Three Seas Initiative was established in 2016 and is just developing its identity. Its future and possibilities of achieving set objectives will significantly depend on the economic capacity of countries, their stability and economic development, and their financial security. The IMF acts to benefit its members' financial security, especially in crises, in various manners. Countries can extend possibilities of obtaining resources by increasing their participation in the organization's decision-making process, and it depends on their financial capacity and decisions made by the country authorities. The research methods used herein primarily comprise the analysis of the IMF's documents and the 3SI and analyze statistical data. Findings: The 3SI countries do not have a strong position in the IMF, and stronger possibilities of influencing this institution's policy exist solely due to the countries' membership in the European Union. The IMF engaged financially in the region to a minimal extent since the countries' security was basically ensured. However, it was active by providing support in counseling, technical assistance, and participation in country authorities' reforms. Practical implications: The paper presents possibilities of cooperation of both partiesthe 3SI countries and the IMF in economic security, both in the times of stable economic situation and in economic crises such as e.g., resulting from the global pandemic SARS-CoV-2. Originality/value: Original research.
The aim of the article is to present the results of research on the effects of the coronavirus COVID-19 on the economies of the Three Seas Initiative countries and to try to answer the question about the future of the Initiative. It was assumed that the development and future of this initiative, which is still shaping its identity, and the possibility of achieving its goals, will depend on the economic possibilities of the states that make it up and the decisions made by the heads of states. The analysis was based on the latest macroeconomic statistical data published by Eurostat and the IMF, concerning: GDP, industrial production, budget deficit, public debt, unemployment and inflation. The article outlines the genesis of the Three Seas Initiative and its goals, in order to explain its essence and assumptions. In order to assess the development possibilities of the Three Seas Initiative countries and forecast their economic security in the context of COVID-19, a simplified forecasting method was used, prepared by a team of researchers in a research grant, consisting in distinguishing global megatrends, the socalled wild cards, weak signals, and based on them, possible scenarios were created. They include a forecast of changes in macroeconomic indicators in the context of megatrends and conclusions on the future of the initiative. The scale of the virus’s destruction and its impact on the macroeconomic security of countries will depend on the number and intensity of successive waves of the pandemic, and on the degree of reveal of unfavourable phenomena (wild cards) and the intensity of phenomena currently observed in the form of weak signals. The political will of the leaders of states and the European Union to respect the debt limits set out in the Maastricht Treaty, as well as the will and real possibilities of launching development investments will also be important.
This article outlines the issue of the economic situation of Three Seas Initiative countries, based on reports and opinions of the International Monetary Fund. Latvia, Poland and Romania have been selected for detailed analysis. Statistical data for all Three Seas Initiative countries on the trends in gross domestic product (GDP), its value, consumption, inflation, unemployment rate, the general government fiscal balance, the general government gross debt, as well as foreign debt are presented in the tables. The final part of the article includes data on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on GDP in all countries of the region.
The article analyzes research issues raised in publications on diplomacy, published after 2014 on the Polish publishing market. Particular attention was paid to the issue of defense diplomacy. In the first part of the article, seven monographs on diplomacy were analyzed in terms of their content, in search of issues related to defense diplomacy. However, the second part of the article analyzes the content of the only publication available on the Polish publishing market, entirely devoted to defense diplomacy, showing its strengths, weaknesses and its practical usefulness.
Artykuł ukazuje zagadnienie handlu ludźmi w Europie jako wyzwanie dla bezpieczeństwa, na podstawie raportów opublikowanych przez Biuro Narodów Zjednoczonych ds. Narkotyków i Przestępczości oraz Unię Europejską. Przedstawiona została definicja handlu ludźmi, dokumenty międzynarodowe dotyczące handlu ludźmi, takie jak Protokół z Palermo i Konwencja Rady Europy. Ponadto ukazano cele handlu ludźmi w Europie i profil ofiar, jak również skalę zjawiska w Europie, z podziałem na Europę Zachodnią i Południową oraz Europę Środkową i Południowo-Wschodnią, a także oddzielnie – Unię Europejską. Następnie zarysowano podobieństwa i różnice w procederze handlu ludźmi w Europie w porównaniu z innymi regionami świata w latach 2012–2020, profil przestępczości w związku ze współczesnym niewolnictwem, a także politykę państw regionu wobec tego problemu.
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