The most effective treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma is surgical removal of the tumour but there is often recurrence. In this large international study, we develop a statistical method that allows clinicians to estimate the risk of recurrence in an individual patient. This facility enhances communication with the patient about the likely success of the treatment and will help in designing clinical trials that aim to find drugs that decrease the risk of recurrence.
Objective: To delineate the risk to child IQ associated with frequently prescribed antiepileptic drugs.Methods: Children born to women with epilepsy (n 5 243) and women without epilepsy (n 5 287) were recruited during pregnancy and followed prospectively. Of these, 408 were blindly assessed at 6 years of age. Maternal and child demographics were collected and entered into statistical models.Results: The adjusted mean IQ was 9.7 points lower (95% confidence interval [CI] 24.9 to 214.6; p , 0.001) for children exposed to high-dose (.800 mg daily) valproate, with a similar significant effect observed for the verbal, nonverbal, and spatial subscales. Children exposed to high-dose valproate had an 8-fold increased need of educational intervention relative to control children (adjusted relative risk, 95% CI 8.0, 2.5-19.7; p , 0.001). Valproate at doses ,800 mg daily was not associated with reduced IQ, but was associated with impaired verbal abilities (25.6, 95% CI 211.1 to 20.1; p 5 0.04) and a 6-fold increase in educational intervention (95% CI 1.4-18.0; p 5 0.01). In utero exposure to carbamazepine or lamotrigine did not have a significant effect on IQ, but carbamazepine was associated with reduced verbal abilities (24.2, 95% CI 20.6 to 27.8; p 5 0.02) and increased frequency of IQ ,85.Conclusions: Consistent with data from younger cohorts, school-aged children exposed to valproate at maternal doses more than 800 mg daily continue to experience significantly poorer cognitive development than control children or children exposed to lamotrigine and carbamazepine. Antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) are associated with teratogenic risk to the development of the fetus, with the prevalence of major congenital malformations differing by treatment type and dose. Determining the association between exposure to AEDs and child cognitive functioning represents a challenge, and a number of different methodologies have been utilized in its investigation including case studies, 2-4 retrospective studies, 5,6 and prospective studies. 7-15 Despite limitations, 16 there is growing evidence that exposure to sodium valproate (VPA) in utero is associated with significantly poorer functioning. [10][11][12]15,17 Prospective studies consistently document that VPA is associated with an increase in risk of cognitive impairment in young children, 10,12,15 but any longer-term effects are unlikely to be comprehensively documented until the children studied are of school age, when cognitive development is more stable.10 In a comparison across AED monotherapies, a significantly poorer IQ in school-aged children exposed in utero to
The aim of this study was to compare the prevalence of diagnosed neurodevelopmental disorders in children exposed, in utero, to different antiepileptic drug (AED) treatments. A prospective cohort of women with epilepsy and a control group of women without epilepsy were recruited from antenatal clinics. The children of this cohort were followed longitudinally until six years of age (n=415). Diagnosis of a neurodevelopmental disorder was made independently of the research team. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed an increase in risk of neurodevelopmental disorders in children exposed to monotherapy sodium valproate (6/50, 12.0%; aOR 6.05, 95%CI 1.65–24.53; p=0.007) and in those exposed to polytherapy with sodium valproate (3/20, 15.0%; aOR 9.97, 95%CI 1.82–49.40; p=0.005) compared to control children (4/214; 1.87%). Autistic spectrum disorder was the most frequent diagnosis. No significant increase was found amongst children exposed to carbamazepine (1/50) or lamotrigine (2/30). An accumulation of evidence demonstrates that the risks associated with prenatal sodium valproate exposure include an increased prevalence of neurodevelopmental disorders. Whether such disorders are discrete or represent the severe end of a continuum of altered neurodevelopmental functioning requires further investigation. Replication and extension of this research is required to investigate the mechanism(s) underpinning the relationship. Finally, the increased likelihood of neurodevelopmental disorders should be communicated to women for whom sodium valproate is a treatment option.
The social brain hypothesis, an explanation for the unusually large brains of primates, posits that the size of social group typical of a species is directly related to the volume of its neocortex. To test whether this hypothesis also applies at the within-species level, we applied the Cavalieri method of stereology in conjunction with point counting on magnetic resonance images to determine the volume of prefrontal cortex (PFC) subfields, including dorsal and orbital regions. Path analysis in a sample of 40 healthy adult humans revealed a significant linear relationship between orbital (but not dorsal) PFC volume and the size of subjects' social networks that was mediated by individual intentionality (mentalizing) competences. The results support the social brain hypothesis by indicating a relationship between PFC volume and social network size that applies within species, and, more importantly, indicates that the relationship is mediated by social cognitive skills.
Leftward volume asymmetry of the pars opercularis and pars triangularis may exist in the human brain, frequently referred to as Broca's area, given the functional asymmetries observed in this region with regard to language expression. However, post-mortem and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) studies have failed to consistently identify such a volumetric asymmetry. In the present study, an analysis of the asymmetry of sulco-gyral anatomy and volume of this anterior speech region was performed in combination with an analysis of the morphology and volume asymmetry of the planum temporale, located within the posterior speech region, in 50 healthy subjects using MRI. Variations in sulcal anatomy were documented according to strict classification schemes and volume estimation of the grey matter within the brain structures was performed using the Cavalieri method of stereology. Results indicated great variation in the morphology of and connectivity between the inferior frontal, inferior precentral and diagonal sulci. There were significant inter-hemispheric differences in the presence of (1) the diagonal sulcus within the pars opercularis, and (2) horizontal termination of the posterior Sylvian fissure (relative to upward oblique termination), both with an increased leftward incidence. Double parallel inferior precentral sulci and absent anterior rami of the Sylvian fissure prevented stereological measurements in five subjects. Therefore volumes were obtained from 45 subjects. There was a significant leftward volume asymmetry of the pars opercularis ( P = 0.02), which was significantly related to the asymmetrical presence of the diagonal sulcus ( P < 0.01). Group-wise pars opercularis volume asymmetry did not exist when a diagonal sulcus was present in both or neither hemispheres. There was no significant volume asymmetry of the pars triangularis. There was a significant leftward volume asymmetry of the planum temporale ( P < 0.001), which was significantly associated with the shape of the posterior Sylvian fissure as a unilateral right or left upward oblique termination was always associated with leftward or rightward volume asymmetry respectively ( P < 0.01). There was no relationship between volume asymmetries of the anterior and posterior speech regions. Our findings illustrate the extent of morphological variability of the anterior speech region and demonstrate the difficulties encountered when determining volumetric asymmetries of the inferior frontal gyrus, particularly when sulci are discontinuous, absent or bifid. When the intrasulcal grey matter of this region is exhaustively sampled according to strict anatomical landmarks, the volume of the pars opercularis is leftward asymmetrical. This manuscript illustrates the importance of simultaneous consideration of brain morphology and morphometry in studies of cerebral asymmetry.
Many problems, in stereology and elsewhere (geometric sampling, calculus, etc.) reduce to estimating the integral Q of a non-random measurement function f over a bounded support on R. The unbiased estimatorQ based on systematic sampling of period T > 0 (such as the popular Cavalieri estimator) is usually convenient and highly precise. The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, to obtain a new, general representation of var(Q) in terms of the smoothness properties of f . We extend the current theory, which holds for smoothness constant q ∈ N, to any q ≥ 0; to this end we develop a new version of the Euler-MacLaurin summation formula, making use of fractional calculus. Our second purpose is to apply the mentioned representation to obtain a new variance estimator for any q ≥ 0; we concentrate on the useful case q ∈ [0, 1]. By means of synthetic data, and real data from a human brain, we show that the new estimator performs better than its current alternatives.
Preconception counseling should include discussion of neurodevelopmental outcomes for specific treatments and their doses and women should be made aware of the limited nature of the evidence base for newer antiepileptic drugs.
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