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[1] We describe an approach for calibrating a two-dimensional (2-D) flow model of hyporheic exchange using observations of temperature and pressure to estimate hydraulic and thermal properties. A longitudinal 2-D heat and flow model was constructed for a rifflepool sequence to simulate flow paths and flux rates for variable discharge conditions. A uniform random sampling approach was used to examine the solution space and identify optimal values at local and regional scales. We used a regional sensitivity analysis to examine the effects of parameter correlation and nonuniqueness commonly encountered in multidimensional modeling. The results from this study demonstrate the ability to estimate hydraulic and thermal parameters using measurements of temperature and pressure to simulate exchange and flow paths. Examination of the local parameter space provides the potential for refinement of zones that are used to represent sediment heterogeneity within the model. The results indicate vertical hydraulic conductivity was not identifiable solely using pressure observations; however, a distinct minimum was identified using temperature observations. The measured temperature and pressure and estimated vertical hydraulic conductivity values indicate the presence of a discontinuous low-permeability deposit that limits the vertical penetration of seepage beneath the riffle, whereas there is a much greater exchange where the low-permeability deposit is absent. Using both temperature and pressure to constrain the parameter estimation process provides the lowest overall rootmean-square error as compared to using solely temperature or pressure observations. This study demonstrates the benefits of combining continuous temperature and pressure for simulating hyporheic exchange and flow in a riffle-pool sequence.Citation: Naranjo, R. C., R. G. Niswonger, M. Stone, C. Davis, and A. Mckay (2012), The use of multiobjective calibration and regional sensitivity analysis in simulating hyporheic exchange, Water Resour. Res., 48, W01538,

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Water from the Missouri River Basin is used for multiple purposes. The climatic change of doubling the atmospheric carbon dioxide may produce dramatic water yield changes across the basin. Estimated changes in basin water yield from doubled CO2 climate were simulated using a Regional Climate Model (RegCM) and a physically based rainfall‐runoff model. RegCM output from a five‐year, equilibrium climate simulation at twice present CO2 levels was compared to a similar present‐day climate run to extract monthly changes in meteorologic variables needed by the hydrologic model. These changes, simulated on a 50‐km grid, were matched at a commensurate scale to the 310 subbasin in the rainfall‐runoff model climate change impact analysis. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) rainfall‐runoff model was used in this study. The climate changes were applied to the 1965 to 1989 historic period. Overall water yield at the mouth of the Basin decreased by 10 to 20 percent during spring and summer months, but increased during fall and winter. Yields generally decreased in the southern portions of the basin but increased in the northern reaches. Northern subbasin yields increased up to 80 percent: equivalent to 1.3 cm of runoff on an annual basis.

ABSTRACT. In this article we summarize histories of nonlinear, complex interactions among societal, legal, and ecosystem dynamics in six North American water basins, as they respond to changing climate. These case studies were chosen to explore the conditions for emergence of adaptive governance in heavily regulated and developed social-ecological systems nested within a hierarchical governmental system. We summarize resilience assessments conducted in each system to provide a synthesis and reference by the other articles in this special feature. We also present a general framework used to evaluate the interactions between society and ecosystem regimes and the governance regimes chosen to mediate those interactions. The case studies show different ways that adaptive governance may be triggered, facilitated, or constrained by ecological and/or legal processes. The resilience assessments indicate that complex interactions among the governance and ecosystem components of these systems can produce different trajectories, which include patterns of (a) development and stabilization, (b) cycles of crisis and recovery, which includes lurches in adaptation and learning, and (3) periods of innovation, novelty, and transformation. Exploration of cross scale (Panarchy) interactions among levels and sectors of government and society illustrate that they may constrain development trajectories, but may also provide stability during crisis or innovation at smaller scales; create crises, but may also facilitate recovery; and constrain system transformation, but may also provide windows of opportunity in which transformation, and the resources to accomplish it, may occur. The framework is the starting point for our exploration of how law might play a role in enhancing the capacity of social-ecological systems to adapt to climate change.

Water yield responses to two climate change scenarios of different spatial scales were compared for the Missouri River Basin. A coarse‐resolution climate change scenario was created from runs of the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization General Circulation Model (CSIRO GCM). The high‐resolution climate change scenario was developed using runs of the Regional Climate Model RegCM, for which the GCM provided the initial and lateral boundary conditions. Water yield responses to the high‐ and low‐resolution climate change scenarios were investigated using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Basin‐wide water yield increased for both GCM and RegCM scenarios but with an overall greater increase for the RegCM scenario. Significant differences in water yields were found between the GCM and RegCM climate scenarios.

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The nonequilibrium adaptation parameters of a depth-averaged two-dimensional hydrodynamic and sediment transport model were examined in the study. Calculated results were compared to data measured in two sets of published laboratory experiments that investigated mining-pit migration under well-controlled boundary conditions including steady flow and uniform rectangular cross sections along the flume except in the vicinity of the experimental mining area. The two sets of experiments were chosen as representatives of bed-load-dominated and suspended-load-dominated cases, respectively. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to estimate the influence of the nonequilibrium adaptation parameters on mining-pit migration simulation. Calculated results indicate that appropriate selection of the adaptation parameters is critical in order to close the nonequilibrium sediment transport formulas when modeling mining-pit migration.