The stochastic differential equations for affine jump diffusion models do not yield exact solutions that can be directly simulated. Discretization methods can be used for simulating security prices under these models. However, discretization introduces bias into the simulation results, and a large number of time steps may be needed to reduce the discretization bias to an acceptable level. This paper suggests a method for the exact simulation of the stock price and variance under Heston's stochastic volatility model and other affine jump diffusion processes. The sample stock price and variance from the exact distribution can then be used to generate an unbiased estimator of the price of a derivative security. We compare our method with the more conventional Euler discretization method and demonstrate the faster convergence rate of the error in our method. Specifically, our method achieves an O s −1/2 convergence rate, where s is the total computational budget. The convergence rate for the Euler discretization method is O s −1/3 or slower, depending on the model coefficients and option payoff function.
This paper describes a practical algorithm based on Monte Carlo simulation for the pricing of multidimensional American (i.e., continuously exercisable) and Bermudan (i.e., discretely exercisable) options. The method generates both lower and upper bounds for the Bermudan option price and hence gives valid confidence intervals for the true value. Lower bounds can be generated using any number of primal algorithms. Upper bounds are generated using a new Monte Carlo algorithm based on the duality representation of the Bermudan value function suggested independently in Haugh and Kogan (2004) and Rogers (2002). Our proposed algorithm can handle virtually any type of process dynamics, factor structure, and payout specification. Computational results for a variety of multifactor equity and interest-rate options demonstrate the simplicity and efficiency of the proposed algorithm. In particular, we use the proposed method to examine and verify the tightness of frequently used exercise rules in Bermudan swaption markets.American options, Bermudan options, Bermudan swaptions, Monte Carlo simulation, Libor market model, option pricing, multiple state variables, real options
This paper examines model specification issues and estimates diffusive and jump risk premia using S&P futures option prices from 1987 to 2003. We first develop a time series test to detect the presence of jumps in volatility, and find strong evidence in support of their presence. Next, using the cross section of option prices, we find strong evidence for jumps in prices and modest evidence for jumps in volatility based on model fit. The evidence points toward economically and statistically significant jump risk premia, which are important for understanding option returns.THERE ARE TWO CENTRAL, RELATED, issues in empirical option pricing. The first issue is model specification, which comprises identifying and modeling the factors that jointly determine returns and option prices. Recent empirical work on index options identifies factors such as stochastic volatility, jumps in prices, and jumps in volatility. The second issue is quantifying the risk premia associated with the jump and diffusive factors using a model that passes reasonable specification hurdles.The results in the literature regarding these issues are mixed. For example, tests using option data disagree over the importance of jumps in prices:
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