Although a number of algorithms have been developed to solve probabilistic inference problems on belief networks, they can be divided into two main groups: exact techniques which exploit the conditional independence revealed when the graph structure is relatively sparse, and probabilistic sampling techniques which exploit the "conductance" of an embedded Markov chain when the conditional probabilities have non extreme values. In this paper, we investigate a family of Monte Carlo sampling techniques similar to Logic Sampling [Henrion, 1988] which appear to perform well even in some multiply-connected networks with extreme conditional probabilities, and thus would be generally applicable. We consider several enhancements which reduce the posterior variance using this approach and propose a framework and criteria for choosing when to use those enhancements.
The analysis of decision making under uncertainty is closely related to the analysis of probabilistic inference. Indeed, much of the research into efficient methods for probabilistic inference in expert systems has been motivated by the fundamental nonnative arguments of decision theory. In this paper we show how the developments underlying those efficient methods can be applied immediately to decision problems.In addition to general approaches which need know nothing about the actual probabilistic inference method, we suggest some simple modifications to the clustering family of algorithms in order to efficiently incorporate decision making capabilities.
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The U.S. Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency's (DARPA) Neovision2 program aims to develop artificial vision systems based on the design principles employed by mammalian vision systems. Three such algorithms are briefly described in this paper. These neuromorphic-vision systems' performance in detecting objects in video was measured using a set of annotated clips. This paper describes the results of these evaluations including the data domains, metrics, methodologies, performance over a range of operating points and a comparison with computer vision based baseline algorithms.
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