In a retrospective study of 22 neonates with congenital diaphragmatic hernia, fetal lung volume (FLV) measured by magnetic resonance imaging was associated with survival; the best FLV ratio cut-off to predict mortality was 30% of expected FLV. This study supports a correlation between FLV and the chances of survival.
Despite advances in postnatal care, the death rate in patients with congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) remains as high as 40-60%.1 Reliable outcome predictors are needed to provide families with accurate prognostic information, to optimise postnatal care, and to detect patients who may be candidates for future prenatal treatments.1 However, prenatal prediction of prognosis in patients with isolated CDH remains a challenge.
1Lung hypoplasia is a key prognostic factor.1 This can be estimated by fetal lung volume (FLV) measured by magnetic resonance imaging.2 However, the predictive value of FLV remains controversial. [3][4][5] We evaluated the potential for FLV to predict survival in neonates with CDH.
STUDY DESIGN PatientsWe conducted a retrospective study of neonates with prenatal diagnosis of CDH between January 1996 and August 2004 and FLV measurement by magnetic resonance imaging. We excluded voluntarily terminated pregnancies and neonates without FLV measurement. Neonates were inborn and managed according to the same protocol through the years.
Measurement of FLVMagnetic resonance imaging was performed at 30-32 weeks gestation, using a 1.5 T system. Lung boundaries were manually outlined on axial T2 weighted sequences. The lung surface area was multiplied by section thickness and corrected for gap to yield a partial FLV. The sum of partial FLV yielded the FLV. Predicted FLVs were estimated as FLV = 0.0033 6 g 2.86 , where g is gestational age.2 We then computed the ratio of observed over predicted FLV (hereafter designated ''FLV ratio'').The primary evaluation criterion was the association between postnatal mortality and FLV ratio. We also compared the prognostic value of FLV with that of gestational age at birth, gestational age at diagnosis of CDH, fetal sex, side of CDH, and liver herniation. Data are reported as mean (SD) unless specified otherwise.
RESULTSTwenty two neonates were studied, and 10 survived. The FLV ratio was lower in non-survivors than in survivors (25.1 (12.8)% v 46.9 (11.6)% respectively; p,0.01). The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of sensitivity and specificity of various ratio cut-offs for predicting postnatal death was 0. 92 (fig 1). The best cut-off was 30%, with a sensitivity of 0.83 (0.55-0.95) and a specificity of 1.00 (0.72-1.00). In our study, the FLV ratio was the only variable significantly associated with mortality (p,0.01) (table 1).
DISCUSSIONIn this retrospective study of 22 neonates with CDH, the FLV ratio correlated with neonatal survival. The receiver operator characteristic curve identified 30% as the best FLV ratio cutoff for predicting survival.Prognostic interest of FLV in CDH has previously been evaluated in three studies.3-5...
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