Background Biomarkers can be of help to understand critical illness and to identify and stratify sepsis. Adrenomedullin is a vasoactive hormone, with reported prognostic and potentially therapeutic value in sepsis. The primary aim of this study was to investigate the association of circulating bioactive adrenomedullin (bio-ADM) levels at intensive care unit (ICU) admission with mortality in sepsis patients and in a general ICU population. Secondary aims included the association of bio-ADM with organ failure and the ability of bio-ADM to identify sepsis. Methods In this retrospective observational study, adult patients admitted to one of four ICUs during 2016 had admission bio-ADM levels analysed. Age-adjusted odds ratios (OR) with 95% CI for log-2 transformed bio-ADM, and Youden’s index derived cut-offs were calculated. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality, and secondary outcomes included the need for organ support and the ability to identify sepsis. Results Bio-ADM in 1867 consecutive patients were analysed; 632 patients fulfilled the sepsis-3 criteria of whom 267 had septic shock. The median bio-ADM in the entire ICU population was 40 pg/mL, 74 pg/mL in sepsis patients, 107 pg/mL in septic shock and 29 pg/mL in non-septic patients. The association of elevated bio-ADM and mortality in sepsis patients and the ICU population resulted in ORs of 1.23 (95% CI 1.07–1.41) and 1.22 (95% CI 1.12–1.32), respectively. The association with mortality remained after additional adjustment for lactate in sepsis patients. Elevated bio-ADM was associated with an increased need for dialysis with ORs of 2.28 (95% CI 2.01–2.59) and 1.97 (95% CI 1.64–2.36) for the ICU population and sepsis patients, respectively, and with increased need of vasopressors, OR 1.33 (95% CI 1.23–1.42) (95% CI 1.17–1.50) for both populations. Sepsis was identified with an OR of 1.78 (95% CI 1.64–1.94) for bio-ADM, after additional adjustment for severity of disease. A bio-ADM cut-off of 70 pg/mL differentiated between survivors and non-survivors in sepsis, but a Youden’s index derived threshold of 108 pg/mL performed better. Conclusions Admission bio-ADM is associated with 30-day mortality and organ failure in sepsis patients as well as in a general ICU population. Bio-ADM may be a morbidity-independent sepsis biomarker.
Sepsis is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in intensive care units (ICUs) worldwide, with a prevalence of 25%-30% and in-hospital mortality rate of 19%-47%. 1 The criteria for sepsis identification have varied over time and across studies, leading to inconsistent results regarding the incidence and outcomes. Older studies often used hospital discharge codes to identify sepsis, which is known to lead to underreporting compared with sepsis identified using clinical criteria. 1-4 In 2016, the third version of the sepsis criteria (Sepsis-3) was introduced based on the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. 5 The current recommendation in Sweden is that the Sepsis-3 criteria should be used. 6 To our knowledge, there is no update on the characteristics or prevalence of septic patients using the Sepsis-3 criteria in Swedish ICUs. The aim of this study was (1) to compare the ICU prevalence of sepsis according to the Sepsis-3 criteria with
Background Our aim was to investigate the prognostic potential of circulating dipeptidyl peptidase 3 (cDPP3) to predict mortality and development of organ dysfunction in a mixed intensive care unit (ICU) population, and for this reason, we analysed prospectively collected admission blood samples from adult ICU patients at four Swedish hospitals. Blood samples were stored in a biobank for later batch analysis. The association of cDPP3 levels with 30-day mortality and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores on day two was investigated before and after adjustment for the simplified acute physiology score III (SAPS-3), using multivariable (ordinal) logistic regression. The predictive power of cDPP3 was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Results Of 1978 included consecutive patients in 1 year (2016), 632 fulfilled the sepsis 3-criteria, 190 were admitted after cardiac arrest, and 157 because of trauma. Admission cDPP3 was independently (of SAPS-3) associated with 30-day mortality with odds ratios of 1.45 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.28–1.64) in the entire ICU population, 1.30 (95% CI 1.08–1.57) in the sepsis subgroup and 2.28 (95% CI 1.50–3.62) in cardiac arrest. For trauma, there was no clear association. Circulating DPP3 alone was a moderate predictor of 30-day mortality with AUROCs of 0.68, 0.62, and 0.72 in the entire group, the sepsis subgroup, and the cardiac arrest subgroup, respectively. By adding cDPP3 to SAPS-3, AUROC improved for the entire group, the sepsis subgroup, and the cardiac arrest subgroup (p = 0.023). Conclusion Circulating DPP3 on admission is a SAPS-3 independent prognostic factor of day-two organ dysfunction and 30-day mortality in a mixed ICU population and needs further evaluation.
Background Proenkephalin A 119-159 (penKid) has been suggested as a marker of renal failure and poor outcome. We aimed to investigate the association of penKid on ICU admission with organ dysfunction and mortality in a mixed ICU population. In this retrospective, observational study, admission penKid levels from prospectively collected blood samples of consecutive patients admitted to four Swedish ICUs were analysed. The association of penKid with day-two sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores and 30-day mortality was investigated using (ordinal) logistic regression. The predictive power of penKid for 30-day mortality and dialysis was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results Of 1978 included patients, 632 fulfilled the sepsis 3-criteria, 190 had a cardiac arrest, and 157 had experienced trauma. Admission penKid was positively associated with 30-day mortality with an odds ratio of 1.95 (95% confidence interval 1.75–2.18, p < 0.001), and predicted 30-day mortality in the entire ICU population with an AUC of 0.71 (95% confidence interval 0.68–0.73) as well as in the sepsis, cardiac arrest and trauma subgroups (AUCs of 0.61–0.84). Correction for admission plasma creatinine revealed that penKid correlated with neurological dysfunction. Conclusion Plasma penKid on ICU admission is associated with day-two organ dysfunction and predictive of 30-day mortality in a mixed ICU-population, as well as in sepsis, cardiac arrest and trauma subgroups. In addition to being a marker of renal dysfunction, plasma penKid is associated with neurologic dysfunction in the entire ICU population, and cardiovascular dysfunction in sepsis.
Background: Sepsis is common in the intensive care unit (ICU). Two of the ICU’s most widely used mortality prediction models are the Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 (SAPS-3) and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. We aimed to assess the mortality prediction performance of SAPS-3 and SOFA upon ICU admission for sepsis and find a simpler mortality prediction model for these patients to be used in clinical practice and when conducting studies. Methods: A retrospective study of adult patients fulfilling the Sepsis-3 criteria admitted to four general ICUs was performed. A simple prognostic model was created using backward stepwise multivariate logistic regression. The area under the curve (AUC) of SAPS-3, SOFA and the simple model was assessed. Results: One thousand nine hundred eighty four admissions were included. A simple six-parameter model consisting of age, immunosuppression, Glasgow Coma Scale, body temperature, C-reactive protein and bilirubin had an AUC of 0.72 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69–0.75) for 30-day mortality, which was non-inferior to SAPS-3 (AUC 0.75, 95% CI 0.72–0.77) ( p = 0.071). SOFA had an AUC of 0.67 (95% CI 0.64–0.70) and was inferior to SAPS-3 ( p < 0.001) and our simple model ( p = 0.0019). Conclusion: SAPS-3 has a lower prognostic value in sepsis than in the general ICU population. SOFA performs less well than SAPS-3. Our simple six-parameter model predicts mortality just as well as SAPS-3 upon ICU admission for sepsis, allowing the design of simple studies and performance monitoring.
We welcome the response of Walther et al. 1 to our recently published paper Sepsis is underreported in Swedish intensive care units: A retrospective observational multicentre study. The discussion on how to best identify sepsis patients in the ICU for research purposes is important since it has a great impact on how sepsis patients are described and what knowledge of sepsis can be derived from a deepened analysis.
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