Aims Significant recovery of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) occurs in a proportion of patients with heart failure (HF) and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). We analysed outcomes, including mortality [all‐cause, cardiovascular (CV), HF‐related, and sudden death], and HF‐related hospitalizations in this HF‐recovered group. The primary endpoint was a composite of CV death or HF hospitalization. Methods and results LVEF was assessed at baseline and at 1 year in 1057 consecutive HF patients. Patients were classified into three groups: (i) HF‐recovered: LVEF <45% at baseline and ≥45% at 1 year (n = 233); (ii) HF with preserved EF (HFpEF): LVEF ≥45% throughout follow‐up (n = 117); and (iii) HFrEF: LVEF <45% throughout follow‐up (n = 707). Mean follow‐up was 5.6 ± 3.1 years. HF‐recovered patients differed from HFrEF and HFpEF groups in demographic and clinical characteristics. The mean LVEF increase was 21.1 ± 10 points in HF‐recovered patients. Using the HF‐recovered group as a reference, the risks for the primary composite endpoint (n = 376), with non‐CV death as competing risk, for HFpEF and HFrEF groups were: hazard ratio (HR) 2.33 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.60–3.39], P < 0.001 and HR 1.99 (95% CI 1.50–2.65), P < 0.001, respectively. All‐cause (n = 429), CV (n = 245), HF‐related (n = 127), and sudden death (n = 60) were significantly lower in HF‐recovered subjects relative to HFrEF (all P < 0.01). HF‐recovered patients also experienced less recurrent HF hospitalizations (P < 0.001). Conclusion One in four treated patients with HFrEF showed recovery of systolic function. HF‐recovered patients had significantly improved mortality and morbidity relative to HFpEF and HFrEF subjects. Further research is needed to identify optimal medications and device indications for HF‐recovered patients.
Both BMI and survival after a mean follow-up of 4.3 ± 3.0 years (up to 10 years) were assessed for 2527 ambulatory patients (66.3% men; mean age 69 ± 12.3 years). A total of 1102 (43.6%) patients had T2D and ischaemic aetiology of HF was present in 47.8%; mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 38 ± 16%. Based on BMI scores, patients were categorized as either underweight, normal, overweight, or obese. A significant survival interaction was observed between BMI and T2D. Smooth spline curves for the estimation of risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death showed the classic obesity paradox, with reduced mortality as BMI increased in non-diabetics; for T2D patients this pattern was lost. After adjustment for age and sex, hazard ratios for low-weight and obesity were: 2.04 [95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.50-2.78, P < 0.001] and 0.76 (95% CI 0.58-0.99, P = 0.04), respectively, for non-T2D patients; and 1.30 (95% CI 0.77-2.19, P = 0.32) and 0.99 (95% CI 0.78-1.26, P = 0.95), respectively, for T2D patients. Multivariate analyses for mortality (including BMI as a continuous variable) were significant for non-diabetic patients only.
Background In heart failure ( HF ), weight loss ( WL ) has been associated with an adverse prognosis whereas obesity has been linked to lower mortality (the obesity paradox). The impact of WL in obese patients with HF is incompletely understood. Our objective was to explore the prevalence of WL and its impact on long‐term mortality, with an emphasis on obese patients, in a cohort of patients with chronic HF . Methods and Results Weight at first visit and the 1‐year follow‐up and vital status after 3 years were assessed in 1000 consecutive ambulatory, chronic HF patients (72.7% men; mean age 65.8±12.1 years). Significant WL was defined as a loss of ≥5% weight between baseline and 1 year. Obesity was defined as body mass index ≥30 kg/m 2 (N=272). Of the 1000 patients included, 170 experienced significant WL during the first year of follow‐up. Mortality was significantly higher in patients with significant WL (27.6% versus 15.3%, P <0.001). In univariable Cox regression analysis, patients with significant WL had 2‐fold higher mortality (hazard ratio 1.95 [95% CI 1.39–2.72], P <0.001). In multivariable analysis, adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, New York Heart Association functional class, left ventricular ejection fraction, HF duration, ischemic etiology, diabetes, and treatment, significant WL remained independently associated with higher mortality (hazard ratio 1.89 [95% CI 1.32–2.68], P <0.001). Among obese patients with HF , significant WL was associated with an even more ominous prognosis (adjusted hazard ratio for death of 2.38 [95% CI 1.31–4.32], P =0.004) than that observed in nonobese patients (adjusted hazard ratio 1.83 [95% CI 1.16–2.89], P =0.01). Conclusions Weight loss ≥5% in patients with chronic HF was associated with high long‐term mortality, particularly among obese patients with HF .
Several heart failure (HF) web-based risk scores are currently used in clinical practice. Currently, we lack head-to-head comparison of the accuracy of risk scores. This study aimed to assess correlation and mortality prediction performance of Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC-HF) risk score, which includes clinical variables + medications; Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM), which includes clinical variables + treatments + analytes; PARADIGM Risk of Events and Death in the Contemporary Treatment of Heart Failure (PREDICT-HF) and Barcelona Bio-Heart Failure (BCN-Bio-HF) risk calculator, which also include biomarkers, like N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).
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