Warming Effects on a Mexican Coastal Lagoon diatoms. Algal blooms were composed by species adapted to high temperatures and nutrients depletion in 2015, while in 2016 and 2017 were composed by ruderalstrategist species and they were boosted by the nutrient pulses associated with the spring upwellings. The fall algal bloom, typical of subtropical coastal lagoons, was observed only in 2016 and it was confined to the interior of the lagoon where there are local inputs of nutrients. In 2015 and 2016 there was a succession of diatoms and dinoflagellates related to the rising of temperature while in 2017 this pattern changed because of the strong upwellings. The relationships of water temperature and silicate with a ratio of diatoms' cell abundance, was analyzed using generalized additive models (GAMs), showing significant correlations but different trends in some years. The species richness of diatom blooms was high; on the other hand, species diversity increased at the end of spring and early summer. The seasonal pattern of zooplankton biomass showed changes along the 3 years, but the most noticeable was an increase during winter and early spring 2015 and the lack of the usual high values of June-July in 2017. The seasonal pattern of the phytoplankton abundance was different in comparison with the 1982-1983 El Niño while the zooplankton was similar among the three strongest El Niño. The changes we observed strongly suggest that the warming caused by those phenomena highly affected the upwelling strength, the length of the temperate and warm seasons and the hydrology. Phenology of phytoplankton and zooplankton changed after the strong perturbation under the El Niño, and possibly The Blob. The recovery of phytoplankton biomass began in 2017, but its taxonomic composition was not adequate to support the zooplankton recovery.

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This study presents an overview of bivalve assemblages in Bahia Magdalena (BM, México) and the possible impact of environmental variability on these populations, constantly stressed by fishing. This lagoon is responsible for a high proportion of harvest of regional bivalves. First, we list the bivalve species reported in public biogeographic databases. Based on eight commercially exploited species, we described the composition of the bivalve assemblage and its biological characteristics, the history of fishery, and environmental variability in the marine area adjacent to the lagoon (1970–2019) and the habitat of bivalves (2002–2020). Sources of data were public databases and published literature. The enlisted species (n = 184) belong to six orders, and most are small and infaunal, but the structure of the assemblage is unknown. The fisheries began at different times and focused on the most valuable resources. Almost all harvest of bivalves had wide variations because of intensive fishing and a weak regulation frame. After 2015, the main resources were the Pacific wing-oyster (a new resource since 2017) and the geoduck clam due to the declining abundance of other resources (e.g., pen shells, Pacific calico scallop). There was a warming trend in the region since the 1970's, but the strongest El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phases caused the most notable changes before 2013; after that year, a combination of large-scale phenomena increased the temperature significantly. The trend of chlorophyll-a abundance negatively correlated with temperature, but there was an almost constant supply of particulate organic matter in the interior of Bahia Magdalena (BM). After 2015, the quality of lagoon water gradually deteriorated, and in 2017 and 2019, harmful algal blooms developed, but the impact was not fully assessed. The challenges faced by the fishery are multiple (institutional weakness and regional warming); however, permanent monitoring programs of environmental conditions and critical biological variables should be implemented to design scenarios that allow fishery sustainability.

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