Predominantly selfing populations are expected to have reduced effective population sizes due to nonrandom sampling of gametes, demographic stochasticity (bottlenecks or extinction-recolonization), and large scale hitchhiking (reduced effective recombination). Thus, they are expected to display low genetic diversity, which was confirmed by empirical studies. The structure of genetic diversity in predominantly selfing species is dramatically different from outcrossing ones, with populations often dominated by one or a few multilocus genotypes (MLGs) coexisting with several rare genotypes. Therefore, multilocus diversity indices are relevant to describe diversity in selfing populations. Here, we use simulations to provide analytical expectations for multilocus indices and examine whether selfing alone can be responsible for the highfrequency MLGs persistent through time in the absence of selection. We then examine how combining single and multilocus indices of diversity may be insightful to distinguish the effects of selfing, population size, and more complex demographic events (bottlenecks, migration, admixture, or extinction-recolonization). Finally, we examine how temporal changes in MLG frequencies can be insightful to understand the evolutionary trajectory of a given population. We show that combinations of selfing and small demographic sizes can result in high-frequency MLGs, as observed in natural populations. We also show how different demographic scenarios can be distinguished by the parallel analysis of single and multilocus indices of diversity, and we emphasize the importance of temporal data for the study of predominantly selfing populations. Finally, the comparison of our simulations with empirical data on populations of Medicago truncatula confirms the pertinence of our simulation framework.
History and environment shape crop biodiversity, particularly in areas with vulnerable human communities and ecosystems. Tracing crop biodiversity over time helps understand how rural societies cope with anthropogenic or climatic changes. Exceptionally well preserved ancient DNA of quinoa (Chenopodium quinoa Willd.) from the cold and arid Andes of Argentina has allowed us to track changes and continuities in quinoa diversity over 18 centuries, by coupling genotyping of 157 ancient and modern seeds by 24 SSR markers with cluster and coalescence analyses. Cluster analyses revealed clear population patterns separating modern and ancient quinoas. Coalescence-based analyses revealed that genetic drift within a single population cannot explain genetic differentiation among ancient and modern quinoas. The hypothesis of a genetic bottleneck related to the Spanish Conquest also does not seem to apply at a local scale. Instead, the most likely scenario is the replacement of preexisting quinoa gene pools with new ones of lower genetic diversity. This process occurred at least twice in the last 18 centuries: first, between the 6th and 12th centuries—a time of agricultural intensification well before the Inka and Spanish conquests—and then between the 13th century and today—a period marked by farming marginalization in the late 19th century likely due to a severe multidecadal drought. While these processes of local gene pool replacement do not imply losses of genetic diversity at the metapopulation scale, they support the view that gene pool replacement linked to social and environmental changes can result from opposite agricultural trajectories.
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