This paper analyzes the long-run pass-through of money market rates to retail interest rates (both lending and deposit rates). We rely on fully harmonized data from MIR statistics (MFI Interest Rates) for 8 countries of the euro area. From January 2003 to February 2014, interest rates are observed on a monthly basis on new contracts related to the three largest segments of the banking market (consumer, mortgage, and Non-Financial Corporations - NFCs). The long-term pass-through is measured following the Phillips and Loretan (PL) approach which is proved to be more effective than the Engle-Granger OLS (EG-OLS) approach. We also investigate the effect of the financial crisis on the degree of the long-run pass-through. Results suggest that the financial crisis deepens the heterogeneity of the speed and degree of the bank rates adjustment mechanism. Moreover, within the same country, the characteristics of long-run pass-through differ both among banking products and time horizon.
Banks are at the core of economic functioning in various countries and are the cause of their development in various fields. In a changing environment, they must deal with certain risks and maintain financial stability as the ultimate objective. The primary objective of this study is to examine the correlation between credit risk and bank stability within the Tunisian banking sector, with a specific focus on understanding the moderating impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. To achieve this, we employ several econometric techniques, including panel unit root and cointegration tests, panel Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS). Our empirical analysis relies on a panel dataset that encompasses a comprehensive sample of 8 Tunisian banks over 2000-2020. The results of our analysis unveil a significant negative relationship between credit risk and bank stability, indicating that higher levels of credit risk exert a detrimental effect on the overall stability of Tunisian banks. Furthermore, our study highlights that this adverse impact is further exacerbated during the COVID-19 pandemic, suggesting that the pandemic acts as a moderator. The findings of this study hold substantial implications for policymakers, regulators, and bank managers in Tunisia. They emphasize the critical importance of implementing robust risk management practices to mitigate credit risk and bolster bank stability. Additionally, the research underscores the need to consider the unique challenges introduced by external shocks, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, when assessing the overall stability of the banking system.
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