It is well known that many factors that affect the operation of the electric. Power systems beyond the control of the operator. Load switching, for example occurs in accordance with customers' needs and appears to have random. Characteristic. Environmental factors such as wind and temperature determines the capacity of overhead transmission lines. These factors create uncertainty in the planning and operation of power system. Most current methods for assessing reliability of electrical networks are based on the structural diagram of this system. As the structure of the power system operates in abnormal conditions and faults, these methods cannot be used effectively to assess the reliability of the system operation under abnormal operating. In the proposed approach, the power system will be modeled using the initial Information about the system during normal operation. All internal and external factors that affect the functioning of the electrical system will be modeled taking into account the probability of their occurrence and the strength of their impact on the normal operation of the power system. Any correlation between these factors will also be studied using the rules of probability theory.
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