In this paper, we are presenting an epidemiological model for exploring the transmission of outbreaks caused by viral infections. Mathematics and statistics are still at the cutting edge of technology where scientific experts, health facilities, and government deal with infection and disease transmission issues. The model has implicitly applied to COVID-19, a transmittable disease by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The SIR model (Susceptible-Infection-Recovered) used as a context for examining the nature of the pandemic. Though, some of the mathematical model assumptions have been improved evaluation of the contamination-free from excessive predictions. The objective of this study is to provide a simple but effective explanatory model for the prediction of the future development of infection and for checking the effectiveness of containment and lock-down. We proposed a SIR model with a flattening curve and herd immunity based on a susceptible population that grows over time and difference in mortality and birth rates. It illustrates how a disease behaves over time, taking variables such as the number of sensitive individuals in the community and the number of those who are immune. It accurately model the disease and their lessons on the importance of immunization and herd immunity. The outcomes obtained from the simulation of the COVID-19 outbreak in India make it possible to formulate projections and forecasts for the future epidemic progress circumstance in India.
COVID-19 virus started to outbreak in China in the year January 2020. Contact tracing is an open-minded measure of control that applies to an extensive range of transmissible diseases. It is being used to fight infections like SARS, tuberculosis, smallpox, and many sexually transmitted diseases (STDs). From the moment of the lockdown, there have been a great many talks of applications helping to combat the coronavirus. Technical developers bring a solution to this problem by providing tools that help to contain the coronavirus. This kind of application is helpful, but it lacks in accuracy and privacy concerns. COVID-19 virus, irrespective of causes, solution, treatments, clinical signs, and symptoms is discussed in this paper. The main aim of this paper proposes a contact tracing using k-nearest neighbour, which shows the correct prediction of an affected person of COVID-19 based on the distance and also reduces the transmission of disease. It was tested on the WHO dataset obtained the prediction accuracy of which was carried out on clinical and quarantine data. The evaluation result shows that the contact tracing technique’s accuracy has been improved using the proposed algorithm.
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