Extension of SIR type models has been reported in a number of publications in mathematics community. But little is done on validation of these models to fit adequately with multiple clinical data of an infectious disease. In this paper, we introduce SEIR-PAD model to assess susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered, super-spreader, asymptomatic infected, and deceased populations. SEIR-PAD model consists of 7-set of ordinary differential equations with 8 unknown coefficients which are solved numerically in MATLAB using an optimization algorithm. Four set of COVID-19 clinical data consist of cumulative populations of infected, deceased, recovered, and susceptible are used from start of the outbreak until 23rd June 2020 to fit with SEIR-PAD model results. Results for trends of COVID-19 in GCC countries indicate that the disease may be terminated after 200 to 300 days from start of the outbreak depends on current measures and policies. SEIR-PAD model provides a robust and strong tool to predict trends of COVID-19 for better management and/or foreseeing effects of certain enforcing laws by governments, health organizations or policy makers.
The electricity consumption in residential/office buildings corresponded to 45% of the total annual electricity demand in hot-arid climates. This accounted for 27.2 TWh of electricity consumption with 14.2 MWh/capita/year in Kuwait. In this research, four offices in an educational building were equipped with a meteorological data logging system using temperature, humidity, and illuminance sensors. All four offices had double-glazed windows. Moreover, two offices were equipped with two types of commercially available window films. Two million data were stored in iCloud using Wi-Fi and an Internet of Things (IoT) system for the 3 months of June, July, and August 2019. Here, histograms and the kernel density estimation (KDE) of temperature/humidity were analyzed and compared for the two offices with/without 3M Neutral 20 window films. Two floors of the same building consisting of 31 offices were also modeled and simulated to study energy saving and CO2 footprint reduction using various window films. The results of simulations for the month of July 2019 using SOL 101 and SOL 102 window films, respectively, showed that about 250 kg and 255 kg of production of CO2 could be reduced and energy saving counted for 416 and 422 kWh. Measurements from offices with 3M Neutral 20% and 3M Neutral 70% window films for the month of July 2019 indicated that the carbon footprint could be reduced by about 82 kg and 0.43 kg and energy saving counted for 147.11 and 0.71 kWh, respectively. It was observed that an annual energy saving and CO2 footprint reduction of 2.76% could be achieved using window films in a hot-arid climate.
Wood-plastic composites (WPCs) are becoming one of the most attractive materials in building envelopes. In addition to WPCs' architectural and design attraction, they can enhance the thermal performance of buildings by acting as insulation materials. The thermal performance of building materials requires new experimental methods that can simulate true indoor/outdoor temperatures. In this study, a simple quasi-steady heating film (QSHF) method is devised to measure the thermal conductivity of WPC samples utilizing blocks of standard materials with known thermal conductivity. QSHF device uses a 10cm×10cm×0.5mm silicon heating film controlled by a temperature regulator and several transparent acrylic square blocks of the same size with 10mm thickness as the standard materials along with various specially designed WPC samples for Kuwait. The WPC samples' top surface is considered the cold side of the system, which is open to indoor temperatures of 22 to 23 oC. The bottom layer is maintained at fixed temperatures ranging from 25 to 55 oC to simulate the outdoor temperatures of a hot subtropical desert environment like Kuwait. The thermal conductivity of several WPCs type namely FB16, FB18W, CD, and TD were obtained as 0.0912, 0.1174, 0.3453, and 0.3078 W/m.K, respectively. Experimental results for DP45-1 were not consistent at different temperatures. hence Multiphysics CFD simulation was conducted for DP45 which shows strong 2D effects. A typical building sample was also modelled in TRNSYS to compare cooling loads with and without WPC. Also, the limitations and advantages of using QSHF method are discussed.
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