This simple clinical score effectively predicts short-term prognosis among elderly patients starting dialysis. It should help to illuminate clinical decision making, but cannot be used to withhold dialysis. It ought to only be used by nephrologists to facilitate the discussion with the patients and their families.
The French Renal Epidemiology and Information Network (REIN) registry began in 2002 to provide a tool for public health decision support, evaluation and research related to renal replacement therapies (RRT) for end-stage renal disease (ESRD). It relies on a network of nephrologists, epidemiologists, patients and public health representatives, coordinated regionally and nationally. Continuous registration covers all dialysis and transplanted patients. In 2003, 2070 patients started RRT, 7854 were on dialysis and 7294 lived with a functioning graft in seven regions (with a population of 16.5 million people). The overall crude annual incidence rate of RRT for ESRD was 123 per million population (p.m.p.) with significant differences in age-adjusted rates across regions, from 84 [95% confidence interval (CI): 74-94] to 155 [138-172] p.m.p. The principal causes of ESRD were hypertension (21%) and diabetic (20%) nephropathies. Initial treatment for ESRD was peritoneal dialysis for 15% of patients and a pre-emptive graft for 3%. The one-year survival rate was 81% [79-83] in the cohort of 2002-2003 incident patients. As of December 31, 2003, the overall crude prevalence was 898 [884-913] p.m.p, with 5% of patients receiving peritoneal dialysis, 47% on haemodialysis and 48% with a functioning graft. The experience in these seven regions over these two years clearly shows the feasibility of the REIN registry, which is progressively expanding to cover the entire country.
Life expectancy is short in elderly individuals with end-stage renal failure (ESRF). This study aimed to compare mortality in patients with ESRF versus the general population (GP) to assess the evolution of excess mortality by age, gender, nephropathy, and dialysis modality after first dialysis. All incident adult dialysis patients from January 1,1999, to December 31, 2003, who lived in Rhô ne-Alpes Region (France) were included and followed up to death or December 31, 2005. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) in comparison with GP were computed in the first to the fifth years after first dialysis. In the whole cohort (3025 incident patients), SMR decreased during these 5 yr from 7.4 to 5.2 (P ϭ 0.002). In the 18-to 44-, 45-to 64-, 65-to 74-, 75-to 84-, and Ն85-yr-old groups, SMR decreased from 26.7 to 6.2 (P ϭ 0.01), from 12.8 to 8.1 (P ϭ 0.03), from 8.6 to 5.6 (P ϭ 0.051), from 7.1 to 4.5 (P ϭ 0.02), and from 3.5 to 1.2 (P ϭ 0.14), respectively. Among age categories, differences were significant in the first 3 yr (P Ͻ 0.05). SMR were higher 1.5-fold in women than in men in the first 4 yr (P Ͻ 0.05). In patients with diabetic nephropathy (DN), SMR increased during the first 3 yr (P ϭ 0.045) and were higher than in patients without DN in the second, third, and fourth years (P Ͻ 0.05). SMR were higher in the peritoneal dialysis than in the hemodialysis group in the fourth year (P Ͻ 0.01). Patients with ESRF have a high excess mortality compared with the GP. Older patients with ESRF experienced less excess mortality. ESRF cancels out women's survival advantage noted in the GP. SMR evolution in patients with DN was different from that in patients without DN.
Starting patients on dialysis early has been increasing in incidence in several countries. However, some studies have questioned its utility, finding a counter-intuitive effect of increased mortality when dialysis was started at a higher estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). To examine this issue in more detail we measured mortality hazard ratios associated with Modification of Diet in Renal Disease eGFR at dialysis initiation for 11,685 patients from the French REIN Registry, with sequential adjustment for a number of covariates. The eGFR was analyzed both quantitatively by 5-ml/min per 1.73 m(2) increments and by demi-decile (i.e., 5 percentiles of the distribution); the 15th demi-decile, including values around 10 ml/min per 1.73 m(2), was our reference point. The patients more likely to begin dialysis at a higher eGFR were older male patients; had diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, or low body mass index and level of albuminemia; or were started with peritoneal dialysis. During a median follow-up of 21.9 months, 3945 patients died. The 2-year crude survival decreased from 79 to 46%, with increasing eGFR from less than 5 to over 20 ml/min per 1.73 m(2). Each 5-ml/min/1.73 m(2) increase in eGFR was associated with a 40% increase in crude mortality risk, which weakened to 9%, but remained statistically significant after adjusting for the above covariates. Analysis by demi-decile showed only the highest to be at significantly higher risk. Hence we found that age and patient condition strongly determine the decision to start dialysis and may explain most of the inverse association between eGFR and survival.
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